Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in global forecast models for Seoul's April 12 high temperature at Incheon International Airport station, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles diverging around 17–19°C due to variable cloud cover and the strength of incoming mild southerly flow. Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range guidance centers on a maximum near 18°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with April climatological norms of 16–20°C highs, following early-month cold snaps that suppressed peaks to 12–14°C. Key differentiators include potential diurnal clearing boosting 19°C outcomes versus persistent overcast favoring 17°C; new model runs and KMA updates expected overnight could sharpen implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seul em 12 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Seul em 12 de abril?
17°C 22%
18°C 19%
19°C 19%
16°C 14.9%
$184,181 Vol.
$184,181 Vol.
12 abr 2026
14°C ou menos
6%
15°C
9%
16°C
15%
17°C
22%
18°C
19%
19°C
19%
20°C
9%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C ou mais
<1%
17°C 22%
18°C 19%
19°C 19%
16°C 14.9%
$184,181 Vol.
$184,181 Vol.
12 abr 2026
14°C ou menos
$30,547 Vol.
6%
15°C
$23,594 Vol.
9%
16°C
$15,483 Vol.
15%
17°C
$10,372 Vol.
22%
18°C
$9,228 Vol.
19%
19°C
$10,983 Vol.
19%
20°C
$11,893 Vol.
9%
21°C
$18,178 Vol.
3%
22°C
$20,296 Vol.
3%
23°C
$13,851 Vol.
1%
24°C ou mais
$19,870 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in global forecast models for Seoul's April 12 high temperature at Incheon International Airport station, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles diverging around 17–19°C due to variable cloud cover and the strength of incoming mild southerly flow. Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range guidance centers on a maximum near 18°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with April climatological norms of 16–20°C highs, following early-month cold snaps that suppressed peaks to 12–14°C. Key differentiators include potential diurnal clearing boosting 19°C outcomes versus persistent overcast favoring 17°C; new model runs and KMA updates expected overnight could sharpen implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$184,181Data de Término
12 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in global forecast models for Seoul's April 12 high temperature at Incheon International Airport station, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles diverging around 17–19°C due to variable cloud cover and the strength of incoming mild southerly flow. Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range guidance centers on a maximum near 18°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with April climatological norms of 16–20°C highs, following early-month cold snaps that suppressed peaks to 12–14°C. Key differentiators include potential diurnal clearing boosting 19°C outcomes versus persistent overcast favoring 17°C; new model runs and KMA updates expected overnight could sharpen implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$184,181Data de Término
12 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in global forecast models for Seoul's April 12 high temperature at Incheon International Airport station, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles diverging around 17–19°C due to variable cloud cover and the strength of incoming mild southerly flow. Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range guidance centers on a maximum near 18°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with April climatological norms of 16–20°C highs, following early-month cold snaps that suppressed peaks to 12–14°C. Key differentiators include potential diurnal clearing boosting 19°C outcomes versus persistent overcast favoring 17°C; new model runs and KMA updates expected overnight could sharpen implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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