Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a highest temperature of 23°C (76.5% implied probability) in Buenos Aires today, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and ensemble model runs projecting a daytime peak near 23°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds around 10-15 km/h. Morning observations at Aeroparque station—the likely resolution source—show temperatures climbing from overnight lows of 15-17°C, with solar heating moderated by 70-80% humidity and scattered cloud cover inhibiting stronger warming. Recent overnight model updates confirm minimal advection of warmer air, sidelining 24°C (23.5%) and higher outcomes below 3% amid typical autumn patterns, where April highs average 22-23°C historically. Hourly SMN bulletins this afternoon could refine the peak before market close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 11?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 11?
23°C 81%
24°C 17%
25°C 1.4%
26°C <1%
$72,317 Vol.
$72,317 Vol.
23°C
81%
24°C
17%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 81%
24°C 17%
25°C 1.4%
26°C <1%
$72,317 Vol.
$72,317 Vol.
23°C
81%
24°C
17%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a highest temperature of 23°C (76.5% implied probability) in Buenos Aires today, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and ensemble model runs projecting a daytime peak near 23°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds around 10-15 km/h. Morning observations at Aeroparque station—the likely resolution source—show temperatures climbing from overnight lows of 15-17°C, with solar heating moderated by 70-80% humidity and scattered cloud cover inhibiting stronger warming. Recent overnight model updates confirm minimal advection of warmer air, sidelining 24°C (23.5%) and higher outcomes below 3% amid typical autumn patterns, where April highs average 22-23°C historically. Hourly SMN bulletins this afternoon could refine the peak before market close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions