Latest forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) of Argentina and global models like GFS and ECMWF project a high temperature of 23-25°C in Buenos Aires on April 12, driving the near-tie in market-implied probabilities for 24°C (33%) and 25°C (32.5%). This clustering stems from a mild high-pressure ridge promoting daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with light NNE winds at 7 km/h, though hazy conditions and variable morning cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak solar insolation, potentially differentiating outcomes by 1°C. AccuWeather specifies hazy sunshine with a 23°C high and 13% precipitation chance, while Weather.com aligns at 24°C equivalent amid AM clouds clearing PM. Following early April's anomalously warm minimums near 24°C, this setup exceeds the April climatological average of 22°C; intraday SMN observations tomorrow will clarify the trajectory.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 12?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 12?
24°C 33%
25°C 33%
26°C 16%
23°C 15%
$19,735 Vol.
$19,735 Vol.
19°C or below
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
15%
24°C
33%
25°C
33%
26°C
16%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 33%
25°C 33%
26°C 16%
23°C 15%
$19,735 Vol.
$19,735 Vol.
19°C or below
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
15%
24°C
33%
25°C
33%
26°C
16%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) of Argentina and global models like GFS and ECMWF project a high temperature of 23-25°C in Buenos Aires on April 12, driving the near-tie in market-implied probabilities for 24°C (33%) and 25°C (32.5%). This clustering stems from a mild high-pressure ridge promoting daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with light NNE winds at 7 km/h, though hazy conditions and variable morning cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak solar insolation, potentially differentiating outcomes by 1°C. AccuWeather specifies hazy sunshine with a 23°C high and 13% precipitation chance, while Weather.com aligns at 24°C equivalent amid AM clouds clearing PM. Following early April's anomalously warm minimums near 24°C, this setup exceeds the April climatological average of 22°C; intraday SMN observations tomorrow will clarify the trajectory.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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