Latest AEMET guidance for Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market resolution station, forecasts a high of 14°C on April 13 amid lingering cold air, northeast winds at 15 km/h, and 55% precipitation odds from high clouds and possible showers. Trader consensus tilts toward 15°C (33.5%) and 16°C (31.5%), reflecting ensemble spread across ECMWF and GFS models suggesting potential partial clearing and slightly higher peaks if cloud cover thins during peak insolation hours around 3-5 PM. Key differentiators include boundary layer stability and timing of any convective activity; historical April norms near 18°C underscore climatological upside risk, but current frontal passage caps extremes. New model runs overnight could refine odds before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Madrid on April 13?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 13?
15°C 34%
16°C 31%
17°C 14%
14°C 8.6%
$16,022 Vol.
$16,022 Vol.
13°C or below
4%
14°C
9%
15°C
34%
16°C
31%
17°C
14%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
15°C 34%
16°C 31%
17°C 14%
14°C 8.6%
$16,022 Vol.
$16,022 Vol.
13°C or below
4%
14°C
9%
15°C
34%
16°C
31%
17°C
14%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest AEMET guidance for Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market resolution station, forecasts a high of 14°C on April 13 amid lingering cold air, northeast winds at 15 km/h, and 55% precipitation odds from high clouds and possible showers. Trader consensus tilts toward 15°C (33.5%) and 16°C (31.5%), reflecting ensemble spread across ECMWF and GFS models suggesting potential partial clearing and slightly higher peaks if cloud cover thins during peak insolation hours around 3-5 PM. Key differentiators include boundary layer stability and timing of any convective activity; historical April norms near 18°C underscore climatological upside risk, but current frontal passage caps extremes. New model runs overnight could refine odds before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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