Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 29°C (42.5% implied probability) in Shenzhen on April 12, driven by recent observational data from the past 48 hours showing peaks at 29°C as cloud cover departs from a weak frontal system, allowing gradual clearing skies and light winds conducive to daytime heating. Official long-range forecasts from sources like AccuWeather project highs around 28–30°C (82–86°F) with patchy rain possible but low precipitation risk, aligning with Shenzhen's subtropical spring climatology where April highs typically rise from 24°C to 27°C amid rising sunshine hours. Model consensus reflects this warming trend, though inherent forecast uncertainty from potential cloud reforms or sea breeze effects keeps 30°C (26.5%) and 28°C (21.0%) viable; updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration expected later today could refine these odds before resolution at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 12?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 12?
29°C 38%
28°C 27%
30°C 25%
27°C 4.7%
$20,016 Vol.
$20,016 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
27%
29°C
38%
30°C
25%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
2%
29°C 38%
28°C 27%
30°C 25%
27°C 4.7%
$20,016 Vol.
$20,016 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
27%
29°C
38%
30°C
25%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 29°C (42.5% implied probability) in Shenzhen on April 12, driven by recent observational data from the past 48 hours showing peaks at 29°C as cloud cover departs from a weak frontal system, allowing gradual clearing skies and light winds conducive to daytime heating. Official long-range forecasts from sources like AccuWeather project highs around 28–30°C (82–86°F) with patchy rain possible but low precipitation risk, aligning with Shenzhen's subtropical spring climatology where April highs typically rise from 24°C to 27°C amid rising sunshine hours. Model consensus reflects this warming trend, though inherent forecast uncertainty from potential cloud reforms or sea breeze effects keeps 30°C (26.5%) and 28°C (21.0%) viable; updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration expected later today could refine these odds before resolution at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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