Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 13, with implied probabilities clustered evenly around 20–28°C outcomes at 50% amid model spread from global systems like ECMWF and GFS. The South African Weather Service's latest extended outlook calls for partly cloudy skies and isolated showers over the City of Cape Town region, potentially capping highs below the April climatological average of 22–23°C due to lingering autumnal frontal influences and recent light rain on April 10–12 suppressing daytime heating. Clearing trends or berg wind föhn effects could push toward 25–28°C, differentiating higher bins, while persistent cloud cover favors 20–22°C. Final SAWS updates tomorrow will refine guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do Cabo em 13 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta na Cidade do Cabo em 13 de abril?
30°C ou mais 26%
23°C 20%
24°C 20%
22°C 20%
NOVO
NOVO
13 abr 2026
20°C ou menos
1%
21°C
9%
22°C
20%
23°C
20%
24°C
20%
25°C
10%
26°C
12%
27°C
15%
28°C
14%
29°C
19%
30°C ou mais
26%
30°C ou mais 26%
23°C 20%
24°C 20%
22°C 20%
NOVO
NOVO
13 abr 2026
20°C ou menos
$47 Vol.
1%
21°C
$47 Vol.
9%
22°C
$0 Vol.
20%
23°C
$0 Vol.
20%
24°C
$0 Vol.
20%
25°C
$0 Vol.
10%
26°C
$0 Vol.
12%
27°C
$0 Vol.
15%
28°C
$0 Vol.
14%
29°C
$0 Vol.
19%
30°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 13, with implied probabilities clustered evenly around 20–28°C outcomes at 50% amid model spread from global systems like ECMWF and GFS. The South African Weather Service's latest extended outlook calls for partly cloudy skies and isolated showers over the City of Cape Town region, potentially capping highs below the April climatological average of 22–23°C due to lingering autumnal frontal influences and recent light rain on April 10–12 suppressing daytime heating. Clearing trends or berg wind föhn effects could push toward 25–28°C, differentiating higher bins, while persistent cloud cover favors 20–22°C. Final SAWS updates tomorrow will refine guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 11, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$94Data de Término
13 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 11, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 13, with implied probabilities clustered evenly around 20–28°C outcomes at 50% amid model spread from global systems like ECMWF and GFS. The South African Weather Service's latest extended outlook calls for partly cloudy skies and isolated showers over the City of Cape Town region, potentially capping highs below the April climatological average of 22–23°C due to lingering autumnal frontal influences and recent light rain on April 10–12 suppressing daytime heating. Clearing trends or berg wind föhn effects could push toward 25–28°C, differentiating higher bins, while persistent cloud cover favors 20–22°C. Final SAWS updates tomorrow will refine guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$94Data de Término
13 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 11, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 13, with implied probabilities clustered evenly around 20–28°C outcomes at 50% amid model spread from global systems like ECMWF and GFS. The South African Weather Service's latest extended outlook calls for partly cloudy skies and isolated showers over the City of Cape Town region, potentially capping highs below the April climatological average of 22–23°C due to lingering autumnal frontal influences and recent light rain on April 10–12 suppressing daytime heating. Clearing trends or berg wind föhn effects could push toward 25–28°C, differentiating higher bins, while persistent cloud cover favors 20–22°C. Final SAWS updates tomorrow will refine guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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