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Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 11 de abril?

Market icon

Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 11 de abril?

abr 10

abr 11

abr 12

abr 13

abr 10

abr 11

abr 12

abr 13

27°C 99.7%

28°C <1%

20°C ou menos <1%

21°C <1%

Polymarket

$154,150 Vol.

27°C 99.7%

28°C <1%

20°C ou menos <1%

21°C <1%

Polymarket

$154,150 Vol.

20°C ou menos

$2,080 Vol.

<1%

21°C

$2,069 Vol.

<1%

22°C

$2,535 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$3,998 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$6,377 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$10,420 Vol.

<1%

26°C

$21,853 Vol.

<1%

27°C

$44,421 Vol.

100%

28°C

$24,796 Vol.

<1%

29°C

$20,661 Vol.

<1%

30°C ou mais

$14,945 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest observations at 21:20 HKT on April 11 reveal a maximum air temperature of 27.6°C since midnight at the Observatory station and 26.9°C at King's Park, the primary climate reference site, with regional highs reaching 28.8°C at outlying Tai Lung but official records focusing on central stations. These measurements, amid cloudy conditions and falling evening temperatures to 26.6°C, align with trader consensus implying near-certainty for a 27°C daily peak, consistent with April climatological norms of 26–28°C highs and the seasonal forecast for normal to above-normal temperatures. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-evening heat surge before midnight or reclassification from final daily summary, but model consensus and diurnal patterns make escalation to 28°C unlikely. HKO's end-of-day report expected shortly after midnight will confirm resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$154,150
Data de Término
11 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:10 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest observations at 21:20 HKT on April 11 reveal a maximum air temperature of 27.6°C since midnight at the Observatory station and 26.9°C at King's Park, the primary climate reference site, with regional highs reaching 28.8°C at outlying Tai Lung but official records focusing on central stations. These measurements, amid cloudy conditions and falling evening temperatures to 26.6°C, align with trader consensus implying near-certainty for a 27°C daily peak, consistent with April climatological norms of 26–28°C highs and the seasonal forecast for normal to above-normal temperatures. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-evening heat surge before midnight or reclassification from final daily summary, but model consensus and diurnal patterns make escalation to 28°C unlikely. HKO's end-of-day report expected shortly after midnight will confirm resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$154,150
Data de Término
11 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:10 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 11 de abril?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "27°C" at 100%, followed by "20°C ou menos" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 11 de abril?" has generated $154.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 11 de abril?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 11 de abril?" is "27°C" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "20°C ou menos" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 11 de abril?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.