Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 23°C or higher (87%) for Madrid's highest temperature today, aligned with the latest AEMET forecast projecting a peak of 25°C amid a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence inversion and early clear skies for robust solar heating. This exceeds the mid-April climatological average of 18°C, bolstered by southerly winds advecting warmer continental air, as confirmed by ECMWF and GFS model consensus showing highs of 23-25°C. AccuWeather and BBC Weather echo this at around 24°C, though minor model spread accounts for 13% odds on exactly 22°C if afternoon showers materialize. Hourly AEMET observations through late afternoon will pinpoint the official maximum, with current morning readings near 15°C already on a steep upward trajectory.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Madrid on April 11?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 11?
23°C or higher 87.8%
22°C 10.3%
21°C 2.3%
18°C <1%
$72,174 Vol.
$72,174 Vol.
11 abr 2026
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
10%
23°C or higher
88%
23°C or higher 87.8%
22°C 10.3%
21°C 2.3%
18°C <1%
$72,174 Vol.
$72,174 Vol.
11 abr 2026
18°C
$3,586 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$4,561 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$6,347 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$15,057 Vol.
2%
22°C
$8,074 Vol.
10%
23°C or higher
$15,409 Vol.
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 23°C or higher (87%) for Madrid's highest temperature today, aligned with the latest AEMET forecast projecting a peak of 25°C amid a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence inversion and early clear skies for robust solar heating. This exceeds the mid-April climatological average of 18°C, bolstered by southerly winds advecting warmer continental air, as confirmed by ECMWF and GFS model consensus showing highs of 23-25°C. AccuWeather and BBC Weather echo this at around 24°C, though minor model spread accounts for 13% odds on exactly 22°C if afternoon showers materialize. Hourly AEMET observations through late afternoon will pinpoint the official maximum, with current morning readings near 15°C already on a steep upward trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
Volume
$72,174Data de Término
11 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:45 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Janela de disputa
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 23°C or higher (87%) for Madrid's highest temperature today, aligned with the latest AEMET forecast projecting a peak of 25°C amid a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence inversion and early clear skies for robust solar heating. This exceeds the mid-April climatological average of 18°C, bolstered by southerly winds advecting warmer continental air, as confirmed by ECMWF and GFS model consensus showing highs of 23-25°C. AccuWeather and BBC Weather echo this at around 24°C, though minor model spread accounts for 13% odds on exactly 22°C if afternoon showers materialize. Hourly AEMET observations through late afternoon will pinpoint the official maximum, with current morning readings near 15°C already on a steep upward trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$72,174Data de Término
11 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:45 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Janela de disputa
Final
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 23°C or higher (87%) for Madrid's highest temperature today, aligned with the latest AEMET forecast projecting a peak of 25°C amid a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence inversion and early clear skies for robust solar heating. This exceeds the mid-April climatological average of 18°C, bolstered by southerly winds advecting warmer continental air, as confirmed by ECMWF and GFS model consensus showing highs of 23-25°C. AccuWeather and BBC Weather echo this at around 24°C, though minor model spread accounts for 13% odds on exactly 22°C if afternoon showers materialize. Hourly AEMET observations through late afternoon will pinpoint the official maximum, with current morning readings near 15°C already on a steep upward trajectory.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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