Météo-France's latest observations and forecasts for Paris on April 11 confirm a maximum temperature of 17°C or lower under persistent overcast skies and light drizzle, driving trader consensus to 99.3% implied probability for 18°C or below at the official Paris-Montsouris station. Current readings in the mid-teens°C, combined with model consensus from ECMWF and national guidance showing weak high-pressure influence and cool northerly flow, leave negligible room for higher peaks as sunset nears around 8:30 PM local time. Historical April climatology supports this, with average highs near 16°C and rare exceedances above 20°C early in the month. An unlikely scenario challenging this—sudden cloud clearance enabling solar heating—remains improbable per hourly updates, with final resolution pending end-of-day official data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on April 11?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 11?
18°C or below 99.5%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$178,424 Vol.
$178,424 Vol.
18°C or below
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
18°C or below 99.5%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$178,424 Vol.
$178,424 Vol.
18°C or below
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Météo-France's latest observations and forecasts for Paris on April 11 confirm a maximum temperature of 17°C or lower under persistent overcast skies and light drizzle, driving trader consensus to 99.3% implied probability for 18°C or below at the official Paris-Montsouris station. Current readings in the mid-teens°C, combined with model consensus from ECMWF and national guidance showing weak high-pressure influence and cool northerly flow, leave negligible room for higher peaks as sunset nears around 8:30 PM local time. Historical April climatology supports this, with average highs near 16°C and rare exceedances above 20°C early in the month. An unlikely scenario challenging this—sudden cloud clearance enabling solar heating—remains improbable per hourly updates, with final resolution pending end-of-day official data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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