Latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Paris highs near 14°C on April 13, driving trader consensus with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 29% for 14°C, 28.5% for 15°C, and 23% for 13°C amid high uncertainty. Persistent northerly airflow ushers cool, moist air masses over Île-de-France, sustaining extensive low-level cloud cover that caps insolation and surface heating, while light northwest winds around 10 km/h further suppress temperatures below the mid-April climatological average of 15-16°C at the Paris-Montsouris observatory. Differentiating factors include model divergences on afternoon boundary layer mixing and potential partial clearing; GFS runs show slightly higher peaks. Evening forecast refinements from NOAA and European ensembles may shift odds before resolution via official station data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on April 13?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 13?
14°C 29%
15°C 29%
13°C 23%
12°C 7.8%
$22,387 Vol.
$22,387 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
8%
13°C
23%
14°C
29%
15°C
29%
16°C
7%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 29%
15°C 29%
13°C 23%
12°C 7.8%
$22,387 Vol.
$22,387 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
8%
13°C
23%
14°C
29%
15°C
29%
16°C
7%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Paris highs near 14°C on April 13, driving trader consensus with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 29% for 14°C, 28.5% for 15°C, and 23% for 13°C amid high uncertainty. Persistent northerly airflow ushers cool, moist air masses over Île-de-France, sustaining extensive low-level cloud cover that caps insolation and surface heating, while light northwest winds around 10 km/h further suppress temperatures below the mid-April climatological average of 15-16°C at the Paris-Montsouris observatory. Differentiating factors include model divergences on afternoon boundary layer mixing and potential partial clearing; GFS runs show slightly higher peaks. Evening forecast refinements from NOAA and European ensembles may shift odds before resolution via official station data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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