Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 53.5% implied probability to a high of 19°C or higher in Milan on April 14, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime maxima around 19–20°C under a high-pressure ridge building over the Mediterranean. This setup favors solar heating and minimal cloud cover, consistent with recent mild conditions across northern Italy where early April highs have averaged near 18°C at Milano Linate Airport. Historical mid-April data shows typical highs of 17–19°C on the Saffir-Simpson scale-irrelevant here, but climatological norms support the slight warm bias. However, ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from potential passing showers or cooler air advection, with 36% odds on exactly 18°C. Watch Italian Aeronautica Militare updates and 00Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Linate observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on April 14?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 14?
18°C 14%
13°C 9%
17°C 9%
14°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
14 abr 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
4%
12°C
8%
13°C
9%
14°C
9%
15°C
9%
16°C
9%
17°C
9%
18°C
14%
19°C or higher
61%
18°C 14%
13°C 9%
17°C 9%
14°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
14 abr 2026
9°C or below
$59 Vol.
1%
10°C
$32 Vol.
2%
11°C
$0 Vol.
4%
12°C
$4 Vol.
8%
13°C
$7 Vol.
9%
14°C
$0 Vol.
9%
15°C
$11 Vol.
9%
16°C
$4 Vol.
9%
17°C
$0 Vol.
9%
18°C
$0 Vol.
14%
19°C or higher
$5 Vol.
61%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 53.5% implied probability to a high of 19°C or higher in Milan on April 14, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime maxima around 19–20°C under a high-pressure ridge building over the Mediterranean. This setup favors solar heating and minimal cloud cover, consistent with recent mild conditions across northern Italy where early April highs have averaged near 18°C at Milano Linate Airport. Historical mid-April data shows typical highs of 17–19°C on the Saffir-Simpson scale-irrelevant here, but climatological norms support the slight warm bias. However, ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from potential passing showers or cooler air advection, with 36% odds on exactly 18°C. Watch Italian Aeronautica Militare updates and 00Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Linate observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 12, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Volume
$111Data de Término
14 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 12, 2026, 12:26 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 53.5% implied probability to a high of 19°C or higher in Milan on April 14, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime maxima around 19–20°C under a high-pressure ridge building over the Mediterranean. This setup favors solar heating and minimal cloud cover, consistent with recent mild conditions across northern Italy where early April highs have averaged near 18°C at Milano Linate Airport. Historical mid-April data shows typical highs of 17–19°C on the Saffir-Simpson scale-irrelevant here, but climatological norms support the slight warm bias. However, ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from potential passing showers or cooler air advection, with 36% odds on exactly 18°C. Watch Italian Aeronautica Militare updates and 00Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Linate observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$111Data de Término
14 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 12, 2026, 12:26 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 53.5% implied probability to a high of 19°C or higher in Milan on April 14, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime maxima around 19–20°C under a high-pressure ridge building over the Mediterranean. This setup favors solar heating and minimal cloud cover, consistent with recent mild conditions across northern Italy where early April highs have averaged near 18°C at Milano Linate Airport. Historical mid-April data shows typical highs of 17–19°C on the Saffir-Simpson scale-irrelevant here, but climatological norms support the slight warm bias. However, ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from potential passing showers or cooler air advection, with 36% odds on exactly 18°C. Watch Italian Aeronautica Militare updates and 00Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Linate observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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