Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, echoed by Aeronautica Militare guidance, project highs near 18°C in Milan on April 13 at Milano Linate Airport, anchoring trader consensus with 17°C or higher at 33% implied probability amid a weakening high-pressure ridge over the Po Valley. Recent observations of 21-24°C under clear skies and southerly advection have given way to easterly winds and potential mid-level cloud layers, differentiating outcomes: clearer scenarios favor 17°C+, while increased stratocumulus or overcast conditions tilt toward 15-16°C at 24.5% and 23.5%. Mid-April climatology averages 17°C, underscoring inherent short-range uncertainty; new 12Z runs from NOAA and ECMWF overnight may sharpen the spread before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on April 13?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 13?
17°C or higher 33%
15°C 25%
16°C 25%
14°C 15%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
3%
14°C
15%
15°C
25%
16°C
25%
17°C or higher
33%
17°C or higher 33%
15°C 25%
16°C 25%
14°C 15%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
3%
14°C
15%
15°C
25%
16°C
25%
17°C or higher
33%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, echoed by Aeronautica Militare guidance, project highs near 18°C in Milan on April 13 at Milano Linate Airport, anchoring trader consensus with 17°C or higher at 33% implied probability amid a weakening high-pressure ridge over the Po Valley. Recent observations of 21-24°C under clear skies and southerly advection have given way to easterly winds and potential mid-level cloud layers, differentiating outcomes: clearer scenarios favor 17°C+, while increased stratocumulus or overcast conditions tilt toward 15-16°C at 24.5% and 23.5%. Mid-April climatology averages 17°C, underscoring inherent short-range uncertainty; new 12Z runs from NOAA and ECMWF overnight may sharpen the spread before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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