Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS converge on a Beijing high temperature around 19°C on April 13, driving trader consensus with 28% implied probability there, amid a cooling trend from recent 24–25°C peaks earlier this week under clear skies. Northerly winds strengthening ahead of a weak frontal system—potentially gusting 20–30 km/h—are expected to mix cooler air and limit daytime heating, differentiating 19°C (most models) from warmer 20–21°C outliers showing less mixing. Historical mid-April highs average 20°C, but spring variability and model spread keep 18°C viable at 20%. New observational data and CMA updates on April 12 could refine odds before afternoon peak heating.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Beijing on April 13?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 13?
19°C 28%
18°C 20%
20°C 20%
21°C 12%
$12,118 Vol.
$12,118 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
20%
19°C
28%
20°C
20%
21°C
12%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
3%
19°C 28%
18°C 20%
20°C 20%
21°C 12%
$12,118 Vol.
$12,118 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
20%
19°C
28%
20°C
20%
21°C
12%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS converge on a Beijing high temperature around 19°C on April 13, driving trader consensus with 28% implied probability there, amid a cooling trend from recent 24–25°C peaks earlier this week under clear skies. Northerly winds strengthening ahead of a weak frontal system—potentially gusting 20–30 km/h—are expected to mix cooler air and limit daytime heating, differentiating 19°C (most models) from warmer 20–21°C outliers showing less mixing. Historical mid-April highs average 20°C, but spring variability and model spread keep 18°C viable at 20%. New observational data and CMA updates on April 12 could refine odds before afternoon peak heating.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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