National Weather Service forecasts project a high temperature of 72-77°F in Denver on April 12, supported by a strong upper-level ridge over the Rockies fostering downslope winds and adiabatic warming under mostly sunny skies, elevating market-implied odds to 99.1% for 68°F or higher—well above the 61°F climatological normal. Recent model runs from NOAA ensembles show tight consensus with low precipitation probability (<10%) and a Fire Weather Watch underscoring dry, gusty conditions amplifying heat potential. This positioning reflects trader confidence in the ongoing spring warm spell, akin to recent record-breaking Aprils exceeding 85°F. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold frontal intrusion or persistent cloud cover disrupting solar heating, though current guidance indicates minimal risk ahead of tomorrow's observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on April 12?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 12?
68°F or higher 98.3%
66-67°F 1.1%
64-65°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$36,982 Vol.
$36,982 Vol.
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68°F or higher
98%
68°F or higher 98.3%
66-67°F 1.1%
64-65°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$36,982 Vol.
$36,982 Vol.
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68°F or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts project a high temperature of 72-77°F in Denver on April 12, supported by a strong upper-level ridge over the Rockies fostering downslope winds and adiabatic warming under mostly sunny skies, elevating market-implied odds to 99.1% for 68°F or higher—well above the 61°F climatological normal. Recent model runs from NOAA ensembles show tight consensus with low precipitation probability (<10%) and a Fire Weather Watch underscoring dry, gusty conditions amplifying heat potential. This positioning reflects trader confidence in the ongoing spring warm spell, akin to recent record-breaking Aprils exceeding 85°F. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold frontal intrusion or persistent cloud cover disrupting solar heating, though current guidance indicates minimal risk ahead of tomorrow's observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions