MetService's latest forecast, updated April 11, projects a daytime maximum of 20°C at Wellington Central ahead of a frontal system bringing occasional rain turning heavy midday, with northeasterlies strengthening before gale-force southerlies in the evening—factors tempering the market-implied odds favoring 19°C (37.5%) over 20°C (27.5%) and 18°C (20.5%). Persistent morning cloud and rain could limit solar insolation and early warm-up, capping peaks below forecast, while quicker clearing might allow brief spikes to 21°C; strong winds at exposed Wellington International Airport (resolution site) further enhance convective cooling. NIWA models hint at 21°C potential, but traders weigh April climatology (typical highs 16–17°C) and Heavy Rain/Strong Wind Watches against short-range uncertainty, with fresh observations due Sunday morning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on April 12?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 12?
19°C 38%
20°C 28%
18°C 21%
21°C 13%
$46,566 Vol.
$46,566 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
21%
19°C
38%
20°C
28%
21°C
13%
22°C or higher
3%
19°C 38%
20°C 28%
18°C 21%
21°C 13%
$46,566 Vol.
$46,566 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
21%
19°C
38%
20°C
28%
21°C
13%
22°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Janela de disputa
Final
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Janela de disputa
Final
MetService's latest forecast, updated April 11, projects a daytime maximum of 20°C at Wellington Central ahead of a frontal system bringing occasional rain turning heavy midday, with northeasterlies strengthening before gale-force southerlies in the evening—factors tempering the market-implied odds favoring 19°C (37.5%) over 20°C (27.5%) and 18°C (20.5%). Persistent morning cloud and rain could limit solar insolation and early warm-up, capping peaks below forecast, while quicker clearing might allow brief spikes to 21°C; strong winds at exposed Wellington International Airport (resolution site) further enhance convective cooling. NIWA models hint at 21°C potential, but traders weigh April climatology (typical highs 16–17°C) and Heavy Rain/Strong Wind Watches against short-range uncertainty, with fresh observations due Sunday morning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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