Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 82.6% implied probability to a high temperature of 17°C or below in Shanghai on April 12, aligned with the latest hourly forecasts from major models showing a peak of 16-17°C under overcast skies. A recent cold frontal passage on April 11 introduced easterly winds of 10-14 mph from the East China Sea, advecting cool, moist air that sustains 99-100% cloud cover and scattered morning showers, sharply limiting solar insolation and daytime warming. China Meteorological Administration and The Weather Channel projections confirm light rain and highs near 17°C, below the April climatological average of 19°C due to this dominant synoptic pattern. Hourly observations from official Shanghai stations will finalize the peak, with minor clearing potentially edging toward 18°C (12% odds).
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 12?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 12?
17°C or below 83.0%
18°C 12%
19°C 1.9%
20°C 1.1%
$62,867 Vol.
$62,867 Vol.
17°C or below
83%
18°C
12%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
17°C or below 83.0%
18°C 12%
19°C 1.9%
20°C 1.1%
$62,867 Vol.
$62,867 Vol.
17°C or below
83%
18°C
12%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 8, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 82.6% implied probability to a high temperature of 17°C or below in Shanghai on April 12, aligned with the latest hourly forecasts from major models showing a peak of 16-17°C under overcast skies. A recent cold frontal passage on April 11 introduced easterly winds of 10-14 mph from the East China Sea, advecting cool, moist air that sustains 99-100% cloud cover and scattered morning showers, sharply limiting solar insolation and daytime warming. China Meteorological Administration and The Weather Channel projections confirm light rain and highs near 17°C, below the April climatological average of 19°C due to this dominant synoptic pattern. Hourly observations from official Shanghai stations will finalize the peak, with minor clearing potentially edging toward 18°C (12% odds).
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions