Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 74% implied probability for a high of 33°C or higher in Panama City on April 14, aligned with the latest forecast models from AccuWeather and Weather.com projecting a peak near 94°F (34°C) at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport station. This reflects persistent dry season conditions, including high pressure ridges, reduced convective activity from northeast trade winds, and ample solar insolation enabling strong daytime heating above the April climatological average of 89°F. Over the past week, observed highs have consistently hit 90–94°F with negligible rainfall, solidifying trader confidence in the hot outcome. Updated model runs expected by April 13 could refine probabilities amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Panama City on April 14?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 14?
33°C or higher 75%
32°C 29%
31°C 26%
29°C 26%
23°C or below
3%
24°C
13%
25°C
13%
26°C
12%
27°C
13%
28°C
12%
29°C
26%
30°C
25%
31°C
26%
32°C
29%
33°C or higher
75%
33°C or higher 75%
32°C 29%
31°C 26%
29°C 26%
23°C or below
3%
24°C
13%
25°C
13%
26°C
12%
27°C
13%
28°C
12%
29°C
26%
30°C
25%
31°C
26%
32°C
29%
33°C or higher
75%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 12, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 74% implied probability for a high of 33°C or higher in Panama City on April 14, aligned with the latest forecast models from AccuWeather and Weather.com projecting a peak near 94°F (34°C) at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport station. This reflects persistent dry season conditions, including high pressure ridges, reduced convective activity from northeast trade winds, and ample solar insolation enabling strong daytime heating above the April climatological average of 89°F. Over the past week, observed highs have consistently hit 90–94°F with negligible rainfall, solidifying trader confidence in the hot outcome. Updated model runs expected by April 13 could refine probabilities amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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