Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble model runs, which converge on New York City highs of 54-57°F at Central Park on April 12, below the 60°F April climatological normal. A recent frontal passage has ushered in cool northerly winds at 10-15 mph, partial cloud cover reducing insolation, and shallow boundary layer mixing, capping peak temperatures in the mid-50s. The razor-thin split between 54-55°F (31.5%) and 56-57°F (29.5%) stems from model disagreements on afternoon clearing and low-level warm air advection—ECMWF slightly warmer, GFS cooler. Watch evening forecast updates and tomorrow's hourly observations for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in NYC on April 12?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 12?
54-55°F 32%
56-57°F 27%
52-53°F 20.5%
58-59°F 8%
$22,822 Vol.
$22,822 Vol.
12 abr 2026
47°F or below
1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
4%
52-53°F
21%
54-55°F
32%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
8%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66°F or higher
<1%
54-55°F 32%
56-57°F 27%
52-53°F 20.5%
58-59°F 8%
$22,822 Vol.
$22,822 Vol.
12 abr 2026
47°F or below
$2,835 Vol.
1%
48-49°F
$1,281 Vol.
1%
50-51°F
$1,501 Vol.
4%
52-53°F
$1,213 Vol.
21%
54-55°F
$1,767 Vol.
32%
56-57°F
$1,426 Vol.
27%
58-59°F
$1,808 Vol.
8%
60-61°F
$4,703 Vol.
3%
62-63°F
$1,548 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$1,310 Vol.
1%
66°F or higher
$3,447 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble model runs, which converge on New York City highs of 54-57°F at Central Park on April 12, below the 60°F April climatological normal. A recent frontal passage has ushered in cool northerly winds at 10-15 mph, partial cloud cover reducing insolation, and shallow boundary layer mixing, capping peak temperatures in the mid-50s. The razor-thin split between 54-55°F (31.5%) and 56-57°F (29.5%) stems from model disagreements on afternoon clearing and low-level warm air advection—ECMWF slightly warmer, GFS cooler. Watch evening forecast updates and tomorrow's hourly observations for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$22,822Data de Término
12 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble model runs, which converge on New York City highs of 54-57°F at Central Park on April 12, below the 60°F April climatological normal. A recent frontal passage has ushered in cool northerly winds at 10-15 mph, partial cloud cover reducing insolation, and shallow boundary layer mixing, capping peak temperatures in the mid-50s. The razor-thin split between 54-55°F (31.5%) and 56-57°F (29.5%) stems from model disagreements on afternoon clearing and low-level warm air advection—ECMWF slightly warmer, GFS cooler. Watch evening forecast updates and tomorrow's hourly observations for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$22,822Data de Término
12 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble model runs, which converge on New York City highs of 54-57°F at Central Park on April 12, below the 60°F April climatological normal. A recent frontal passage has ushered in cool northerly winds at 10-15 mph, partial cloud cover reducing insolation, and shallow boundary layer mixing, capping peak temperatures in the mid-50s. The razor-thin split between 54-55°F (31.5%) and 56-57°F (29.5%) stems from model disagreements on afternoon clearing and low-level warm air advection—ECMWF slightly warmer, GFS cooler. Watch evening forecast updates and tomorrow's hourly observations for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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