Trader consensus closely splits between 31°C (31.5%) and 32°C (29.0%) for Taipei's highest temperature on April 12, driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projecting daytime highs of 23–31°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers and light winds conducive to peak heating around 2–4 p.m. Differentiating factors include the urban heat island effect boosting temperatures 1–2°C above rural areas, strong solar insolation from a high-pressure ridge, and potential sea breeze moderation or brief cloud cover capping peaks near 30–31°C, as reflected in ensemble model spreads from sources like PredictWind (28°C) and international forecasts (30–31°C). Historical April maxima average 26°C, but above-normal conditions prevail; final CWA hourly updates and station readings tomorrow hold key resolution risks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on April 12?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 12?
31°C 33%
32°C 27%
30°C 17%
33°C 9.1%
$48,889 Vol.
$48,889 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
17%
31°C
33%
32°C
27%
33°C
9%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 33%
32°C 27%
30°C 17%
33°C 9.1%
$48,889 Vol.
$48,889 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
17%
31°C
33%
32°C
27%
33°C
9%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus closely splits between 31°C (31.5%) and 32°C (29.0%) for Taipei's highest temperature on April 12, driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projecting daytime highs of 23–31°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers and light winds conducive to peak heating around 2–4 p.m. Differentiating factors include the urban heat island effect boosting temperatures 1–2°C above rural areas, strong solar insolation from a high-pressure ridge, and potential sea breeze moderation or brief cloud cover capping peaks near 30–31°C, as reflected in ensemble model spreads from sources like PredictWind (28°C) and international forecasts (30–31°C). Historical April maxima average 26°C, but above-normal conditions prevail; final CWA hourly updates and station readings tomorrow hold key resolution risks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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