Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range weather forecasts for Buenos Aires on April 13, with ensemble models from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF centering implied highs around 23-25°C amid a warmer-than-normal April (monthly mean already +1.0-2.0°C above 18.5°C climatology). Differentiating factors include divergent model runs: some show stronger high-pressure ridging and northerly warm air advection pushing toward 25°C under mostly sunny skies, while others factor in potential southerly winds or afternoon clouds capping at 23°C, per recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance projecting ~22°C maxima. Historical April 13 highs at Ezeiza Airport average 22°C, but daily updates through April 12 could sharpen resolution as upper-air patterns evolve.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 13?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 13?
24°C 31%
25°C 25%
23°C 22%
22°C 5.5%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
6%
23°C
22%
24°C
31%
25°C
25%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
4%
24°C 31%
25°C 25%
23°C 22%
22°C 5.5%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
6%
23°C
22%
24°C
31%
25°C
25%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range weather forecasts for Buenos Aires on April 13, with ensemble models from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF centering implied highs around 23-25°C amid a warmer-than-normal April (monthly mean already +1.0-2.0°C above 18.5°C climatology). Differentiating factors include divergent model runs: some show stronger high-pressure ridging and northerly warm air advection pushing toward 25°C under mostly sunny skies, while others factor in potential southerly winds or afternoon clouds capping at 23°C, per recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance projecting ~22°C maxima. Historical April 13 highs at Ezeiza Airport average 22°C, but daily updates through April 12 could sharpen resolution as upper-air patterns evolve.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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