Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 21°C in Milan on April 10, driven by official observations from the Milano Linate Airport weather station (LIML), which recorded a peak of 21°C per Wunderground data—the designated resolution source. Partly cloudy conditions and light easterly winds restricted solar heating, aligning with forecast model consensus from sources like ilMeteo.it predicting maxima around 21°C amid mild spring patterns. April climatology in Milan typically features highs of 17–19°C, making this outcome consistent with recent observational trends. Scenarios challenging this would involve rare data revisions from the station or discrepancies with nearby Malpensa readings, though final meteorological reports solidify the positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 10 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 10 de abril?
21°C 100.0%
15°C ou menos <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$140,932 Vol.
$140,932 Vol.
15°C ou menos
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Sim
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C ou mais
Não
21°C 100.0%
15°C ou menos <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$140,932 Vol.
$140,932 Vol.
15°C ou menos
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Sim
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 21°C in Milan on April 10, driven by official observations from the Milano Linate Airport weather station (LIML), which recorded a peak of 21°C per Wunderground data—the designated resolution source. Partly cloudy conditions and light easterly winds restricted solar heating, aligning with forecast model consensus from sources like ilMeteo.it predicting maxima around 21°C amid mild spring patterns. April climatology in Milan typically features highs of 17–19°C, making this outcome consistent with recent observational trends. Scenarios challenging this would involve rare data revisions from the station or discrepancies with nearby Malpensa readings, though final meteorological reports solidify the positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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