Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a peak of 37–38°C on September 8 under clear skies and light southerly flow, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk supporting the tight market split between those two outcomes. Recent observations show a persistent warm spell with afternoon maxima in the mid-30s, driven by subsidence and regional high pressure that limits mixing and allows strong daytime heating in Chongqing’s basin topography. Key variables differentiating 37°C versus 38°C include precise timing of peak insolation, urban heat-island effects, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Updated short-range guidance and official nowcasts expected over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chongqing em 8 de setembro?
38°C 41%
37°C 35%
39°C 14%
36°C 9%
32°C ou menos
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
6%
36°C
9%
37°C
35%
38°C
41%
39°C
14%
40°C
6%
41°C
2%
42°C ou mais
2%
38°C 41%
37°C 35%
39°C 14%
36°C 9%
32°C ou menos
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
6%
36°C
9%
37°C
35%
38°C
41%
39°C
14%
40°C
6%
41°C
2%
42°C ou mais
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a peak of 37–38°C on September 8 under clear skies and light southerly flow, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk supporting the tight market split between those two outcomes. Recent observations show a persistent warm spell with afternoon maxima in the mid-30s, driven by subsidence and regional high pressure that limits mixing and allows strong daytime heating in Chongqing’s basin topography. Key variables differentiating 37°C versus 38°C include precise timing of peak insolation, urban heat-island effects, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Updated short-range guidance and official nowcasts expected over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions