Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park confirm a minimum temperature of 68–69°F on September 8, 2026, producing the market’s near-certain consensus. This reading aligns with regional surface analyses showing a moderating maritime air mass and light winds that prevented stronger nocturnal cooling, keeping overnight lows well above the 1991–2020 average of 64°F. With the date now past and preliminary climatological data released, traders assign negligible probability to alternative bins because any material revision would require an unusual post-processing correction by NOAA. The only realistic challenges remain an official data amendment or a market-resolution rule specifying a different station or time window, both of which historical precedent shows are rare for this type of temperature market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 8 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 8 de setembro?
68-69°F 100.0%
55°F ou menos <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$9,726 Vol.
$9,726 Vol.
8 set 2026
55°F ou menos
Não
56-57°F
Não
58-59°F
Não
60-61°F
Não
62-63°F
Não
64-65°F
Não
66-67°F
Não
68-69°F
Sim
21-22°C
Não
72-73°F
Não
74°F ou mais
Não
68-69°F 100.0%
55°F ou menos <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$9,726 Vol.
$9,726 Vol.
8 set 2026
55°F ou menos
$593 Vol.
Não
56-57°F
$171 Vol.
Não
58-59°F
$236 Vol.
Não
60-61°F
$234 Vol.
Não
62-63°F
$888 Vol.
Não
64-65°F
$1,200 Vol.
Não
66-67°F
$1,670 Vol.
Não
68-69°F
$3,508 Vol.
Sim
21-22°C
$260 Vol.
Não
72-73°F
$604 Vol.
Não
74°F ou mais
$363 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park confirm a minimum temperature of 68–69°F on September 8, 2026, producing the market’s near-certain consensus. This reading aligns with regional surface analyses showing a moderating maritime air mass and light winds that prevented stronger nocturnal cooling, keeping overnight lows well above the 1991–2020 average of 64°F. With the date now past and preliminary climatological data released, traders assign negligible probability to alternative bins because any material revision would require an unusual post-processing correction by NOAA. The only realistic challenges remain an official data amendment or a market-resolution rule specifying a different station or time window, both of which historical precedent shows are rare for this type of temperature market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 6, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$9,726Data de Término
8 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 6, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park confirm a minimum temperature of 68–69°F on September 8, 2026, producing the market’s near-certain consensus. This reading aligns with regional surface analyses showing a moderating maritime air mass and light winds that prevented stronger nocturnal cooling, keeping overnight lows well above the 1991–2020 average of 64°F. With the date now past and preliminary climatological data released, traders assign negligible probability to alternative bins because any material revision would require an unusual post-processing correction by NOAA. The only realistic challenges remain an official data amendment or a market-resolution rule specifying a different station or time window, both of which historical precedent shows are rare for this type of temperature market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,726Data de Término
8 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 6, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park confirm a minimum temperature of 68–69°F on September 8, 2026, producing the market’s near-certain consensus. This reading aligns with regional surface analyses showing a moderating maritime air mass and light winds that prevented stronger nocturnal cooling, keeping overnight lows well above the 1991–2020 average of 64°F. With the date now past and preliminary climatological data released, traders assign negligible probability to alternative bins because any material revision would require an unusual post-processing correction by NOAA. The only realistic challenges remain an official data amendment or a market-resolution rule specifying a different station or time window, both of which historical precedent shows are rare for this type of temperature market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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