Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a high near 90–94°F for Denver on July 5, 2026, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 90–95°F. Key differentiating factors include the strength of an upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and warming, versus the timing and coverage of afternoon convection or patchy smoke that could limit peak insolation and cap temperatures. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty from variable low-level moisture and wind shifts, with climatological July averages near 88–93°F providing context for the current setup. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Denver em 5 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Denver em 5 de julho?
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F ou menos <1%
84-85°F <1%
30-31°C <1%
$41,007 Vol.
$41,007 Vol.
5 jul 2026
83°F ou menos
Não
84-85°F
Não
30-31°C
Não
88-89°F
Não
32-33°C
Não
92-93°F
Não
94-95°F
Sim
96-97°F
Não
98-99°F
Não
100-101°F
Não
102°F ou mais
Não
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F ou menos <1%
84-85°F <1%
30-31°C <1%
$41,007 Vol.
$41,007 Vol.
5 jul 2026
83°F ou menos
$1,823 Vol.
Não
84-85°F
$3,414 Vol.
Não
30-31°C
$3,844 Vol.
Não
88-89°F
$4,101 Vol.
Não
32-33°C
$3,934 Vol.
Não
92-93°F
$7,048 Vol.
Não
94-95°F
$7,586 Vol.
Sim
96-97°F
$3,291 Vol.
Não
98-99°F
$2,082 Vol.
Não
100-101°F
$1,564 Vol.
Não
102°F ou mais
$2,319 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a high near 90–94°F for Denver on July 5, 2026, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 90–95°F. Key differentiating factors include the strength of an upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and warming, versus the timing and coverage of afternoon convection or patchy smoke that could limit peak insolation and cap temperatures. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty from variable low-level moisture and wind shifts, with climatological July averages near 88–93°F providing context for the current setup. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$41,007Data de Término
5 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a high near 90–94°F for Denver on July 5, 2026, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 90–95°F. Key differentiating factors include the strength of an upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and warming, versus the timing and coverage of afternoon convection or patchy smoke that could limit peak insolation and cap temperatures. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty from variable low-level moisture and wind shifts, with climatological July averages near 88–93°F providing context for the current setup. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41,007Data de Término
5 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a high near 90–94°F for Denver on July 5, 2026, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 90–95°F. Key differentiating factors include the strength of an upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and warming, versus the timing and coverage of afternoon convection or patchy smoke that could limit peak insolation and cap temperatures. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty from variable low-level moisture and wind shifts, with climatological July averages near 88–93°F providing context for the current setup. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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