Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models project a maximum temperature of 28–32°C in Jinan on September 24 under mostly cloudy skies with light rain possible, driven by persistent southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal system. This consensus, supported by observed surface conditions and ensemble runs showing limited cooling potential, underpins the market's strong 97.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Historical late-September averages near 25–27°C provide context for the elevated outlook. A realistic shift below 26°C would require an unforecasted cold surge or prolonged heavy precipitation suppressing daytime heating, though current model agreement makes such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Jinan em 24 de setembro?
26°C ou mais 98%
22°C 4%
23°C 4%
24°C 4%
16°C ou menos
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C ou mais
98%
26°C ou mais 98%
22°C 4%
23°C 4%
24°C 4%
16°C ou menos
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C ou mais
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models project a maximum temperature of 28–32°C in Jinan on September 24 under mostly cloudy skies with light rain possible, driven by persistent southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal system. This consensus, supported by observed surface conditions and ensemble runs showing limited cooling potential, underpins the market's strong 97.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Historical late-September averages near 25–27°C provide context for the elevated outlook. A realistic shift below 26°C would require an unforecasted cold surge or prolonged heavy precipitation suppressing daytime heating, though current model agreement makes such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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