Recent meteorological forecasts for northern Italy point to stable high-pressure conditions over the Po Valley, supporting maximum temperatures of 34–35°C in Milan on August 16 amid clear skies and light easterly winds. These align with current model consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC, reflecting typical mid-August climatology where daytime highs average near 30°C but can reach the mid-30s during anticyclonic spells. Urban heat island effects and moderate humidity may add slight warming, though isolated late-day convection could cap peaks. Traders favor 34°C as the mode given the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to 36°C or above absent stronger southerly flow. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 16 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 16 de agosto?
34°C 44%
35°C 35%
33°C 12%
36°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
16 ago 2026
31°C or below
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
12%
34°C
44%
35°C
35%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 44%
35°C 35%
33°C 12%
36°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
16 ago 2026
31°C or below
$482 Vol.
1%
32°C
$219 Vol.
3%
33°C
$809 Vol.
12%
34°C
$602 Vol.
44%
35°C
$759 Vol.
35%
36°C
$544 Vol.
5%
37°C
$52 Vol.
1%
38°C
$87 Vol.
1%
39°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$79 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$308 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for northern Italy point to stable high-pressure conditions over the Po Valley, supporting maximum temperatures of 34–35°C in Milan on August 16 amid clear skies and light easterly winds. These align with current model consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC, reflecting typical mid-August climatology where daytime highs average near 30°C but can reach the mid-30s during anticyclonic spells. Urban heat island effects and moderate humidity may add slight warming, though isolated late-day convection could cap peaks. Traders favor 34°C as the mode given the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to 36°C or above absent stronger southerly flow. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,005Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for northern Italy point to stable high-pressure conditions over the Po Valley, supporting maximum temperatures of 34–35°C in Milan on August 16 amid clear skies and light easterly winds. These align with current model consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC, reflecting typical mid-August climatology where daytime highs average near 30°C but can reach the mid-30s during anticyclonic spells. Urban heat island effects and moderate humidity may add slight warming, though isolated late-day convection could cap peaks. Traders favor 34°C as the mode given the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to 36°C or above absent stronger southerly flow. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,005Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for northern Italy point to stable high-pressure conditions over the Po Valley, supporting maximum temperatures of 34–35°C in Milan on August 16 amid clear skies and light easterly winds. These align with current model consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC, reflecting typical mid-August climatology where daytime highs average near 30°C but can reach the mid-30s during anticyclonic spells. Urban heat island effects and moderate humidity may add slight warming, though isolated late-day convection could cap peaks. Traders favor 34°C as the mode given the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to 36°C or above absent stronger southerly flow. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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