MetService's morning forecast update for April 16 projects a Wellington high of 17°C with clearing showers and strong westerlies following overnight rain, yet trader consensus favors 18°C at 38% implied probability, reflecting potential nor'wester föhn effects that often elevate temperatures 1–2°C above guidance in this topographically complex region. April climatology shows average highs near 17°C, consistent with recent observations peaking at 17.1°C, while ensemble model spreads from GFS and ECMWF indicate variability around 17–19°C amid shifting southerlies. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to local wind channeling and cloud cover; monitor afternoon MetService revisions and real-time data from Wellington International Airport for resolution cues.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wellington em 16 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Wellington em 16 de abril?
18°C 37%
17°C 18%
16°C 10.1%
19°C 8%
11°C ou menos
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
10%
17°C
18%
18°C
37%
19°C
8%
20°C
3%
21°C ou mais
2%
18°C 37%
17°C 18%
16°C 10.1%
19°C 8%
11°C ou menos
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
10%
17°C
18%
18°C
37%
19°C
8%
20°C
3%
21°C ou mais
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's morning forecast update for April 16 projects a Wellington high of 17°C with clearing showers and strong westerlies following overnight rain, yet trader consensus favors 18°C at 38% implied probability, reflecting potential nor'wester föhn effects that often elevate temperatures 1–2°C above guidance in this topographically complex region. April climatology shows average highs near 17°C, consistent with recent observations peaking at 17.1°C, while ensemble model spreads from GFS and ECMWF indicate variability around 17–19°C amid shifting southerlies. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to local wind channeling and cloud cover; monitor afternoon MetService revisions and real-time data from Wellington International Airport for resolution cues.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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