Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles place Seoul's April 15 high temperature in a tight 19-21°C range, driving closely matched trader probabilities reflecting model spread rather than outright consensus. Leading 20°C odds stem from scenarios with sustained daytime solar heating under light winds and partial clearing, while 19°C edges from potential afternoon cloud buildup suppressing peaks; 21°C+ hinges on stronger southerly flow or urban heat amplification. Mid-April climatology averages 18°C highs, with variability tied to East Asian jet stream positioning and low-level moisture. Updated model runs expected overnight could sharpen differentiation before observations resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Seoul on April 15?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 15?
20°C 28%
21°C or higher 27.3%
19°C 26%
18°C 15%
$185,077 Vol.
$185,077 Vol.
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
7%
18°C
15%
19°C
26%
20°C
28%
21°C or higher
27%
20°C 28%
21°C or higher 27.3%
19°C 26%
18°C 15%
$185,077 Vol.
$185,077 Vol.
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
7%
18°C
15%
19°C
26%
20°C
28%
21°C or higher
27%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles place Seoul's April 15 high temperature in a tight 19-21°C range, driving closely matched trader probabilities reflecting model spread rather than outright consensus. Leading 20°C odds stem from scenarios with sustained daytime solar heating under light winds and partial clearing, while 19°C edges from potential afternoon cloud buildup suppressing peaks; 21°C+ hinges on stronger southerly flow or urban heat amplification. Mid-April climatology averages 18°C highs, with variability tied to East Asian jet stream positioning and low-level moisture. Updated model runs expected overnight could sharpen differentiation before observations resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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