The National Weather Service forecast for Austin Camp Mabry projects a high near 89°F on April 15 under mostly cloudy skies with south winds of 10-15 mph, driving the 91.5% market-implied probability for 80°F or higher as traders price in strong short-range model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. This reflects ongoing warm, humid advection from southerly flow, building on today's observed highs near 84°F despite patchy drizzle and isolated severe storms in the region—conditions aligned with Central Texas's April climatology, where highs typically reach 77-83°F. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, significant cooling below 80°F would require an unlikely surge in convective clouds or a premature cold front; evening NWS updates will refine guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Austin on April 15?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 15?
80°F or higher 92%
78-79°F 5.9%
76-77°F 2.1%
74-75°F <1%
$28,993 Vol.
$28,993 Vol.
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
6%
80°F or higher
92%
80°F or higher 92%
78-79°F 5.9%
76-77°F 2.1%
74-75°F <1%
$28,993 Vol.
$28,993 Vol.
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
6%
80°F or higher
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The National Weather Service forecast for Austin Camp Mabry projects a high near 89°F on April 15 under mostly cloudy skies with south winds of 10-15 mph, driving the 91.5% market-implied probability for 80°F or higher as traders price in strong short-range model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. This reflects ongoing warm, humid advection from southerly flow, building on today's observed highs near 84°F despite patchy drizzle and isolated severe storms in the region—conditions aligned with Central Texas's April climatology, where highs typically reach 77-83°F. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, significant cooling below 80°F would require an unlikely surge in convective clouds or a premature cold front; evening NWS updates will refine guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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