Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Jakarta high of 32°C (39.5% implied probability) for April 15, driven by the latest Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika (BMKG) forecast indicating daytime highs of 30–32°C amid partly cloudy conditions, light morning rain, and potential afternoon showers in southern districts. This aligns with April's climatological average high of around 32°C in Jakarta's tropical maritime climate, where urban heat island effects and high humidity often sustain peaks despite cloud cover—evident in yesterday's 32°C reading under patchy rain. Probabilities taper for 31°C (26%) and 33°C (25.5%) due to uncertainty in convective activity capping or boosting temperatures, with official observations resolving the market by day's end. BMKG updates today could refine model consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 15?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 15?
32°C 40%
31°C 25%
33°C 25%
34°C or higher 9%
$18,099 Vol.
$18,099 Vol.
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
25%
32°C
40%
33°C
25%
34°C or higher
9%
32°C 40%
31°C 25%
33°C 25%
34°C or higher 9%
$18,099 Vol.
$18,099 Vol.
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
25%
32°C
40%
33°C
25%
34°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Jakarta high of 32°C (39.5% implied probability) for April 15, driven by the latest Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika (BMKG) forecast indicating daytime highs of 30–32°C amid partly cloudy conditions, light morning rain, and potential afternoon showers in southern districts. This aligns with April's climatological average high of around 32°C in Jakarta's tropical maritime climate, where urban heat island effects and high humidity often sustain peaks despite cloud cover—evident in yesterday's 32°C reading under patchy rain. Probabilities taper for 31°C (26%) and 33°C (25.5%) due to uncertainty in convective activity capping or boosting temperatures, with official observations resolving the market by day's end. BMKG updates today could refine model consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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