Latest Met Office forecasts, updated this afternoon for central London and Heathrow, project an overnight minimum of 12°C on April 15 amid light rain, southerly gusts up to 30mph, and cloud cover that curbs radiative cooling—driving trader consensus with 11°C at 41.4% and 12°C at 24.3% implied probabilities. These mild lows reflect persistent unsettled weather following early April's record warmth, with urban heat island effects in London preventing sharper drops typical of clearer nights. BBC Weather shows a cooler 9°C outlier, highlighting minor model divergence, but official guidance dominates sentiment. Hourly updates overnight and morning observations at key stations like Heathrow will sharpen resolution as the event unfolds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Londres no dia 15 de abril?
Temperatura mais baixa em Londres no dia 15 de abril?
11°C 46.3%
12°C 24.3%
13°C 15%
10°C 14.9%
NOVO
$34,923 Vol.
NOVO
$34,923 Vol.
15 abr 2026
6°C ou menos
<1%
7°C
4%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
15%
11°C
41%
12°C
24%
13°C
15%
14°C
5%
15°C
2%
16°C ou mais
<1%
11°C 46.3%
12°C 24.3%
13°C 15%
10°C 14.9%
NOVO
$34,923 Vol.
NOVO
$34,923 Vol.
15 abr 2026
6°C ou menos
$3,575 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$1,335 Vol.
4%
8°C
$2,629 Vol.
1%
9°C
$5,041 Vol.
1%
10°C
$2,545 Vol.
15%
11°C
$2,866 Vol.
41%
12°C
$3,694 Vol.
24%
13°C
$2,350 Vol.
15%
14°C
$840 Vol.
5%
15°C
$1,947 Vol.
2%
16°C ou mais
$8,253 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Met Office forecasts, updated this afternoon for central London and Heathrow, project an overnight minimum of 12°C on April 15 amid light rain, southerly gusts up to 30mph, and cloud cover that curbs radiative cooling—driving trader consensus with 11°C at 41.4% and 12°C at 24.3% implied probabilities. These mild lows reflect persistent unsettled weather following early April's record warmth, with urban heat island effects in London preventing sharper drops typical of clearer nights. BBC Weather shows a cooler 9°C outlier, highlighting minor model divergence, but official guidance dominates sentiment. Hourly updates overnight and morning observations at key stations like Heathrow will sharpen resolution as the event unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 13, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
Volume
$34,923Data de Término
15 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 13, 2026, 7:06 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Met Office forecasts, updated this afternoon for central London and Heathrow, project an overnight minimum of 12°C on April 15 amid light rain, southerly gusts up to 30mph, and cloud cover that curbs radiative cooling—driving trader consensus with 11°C at 41.4% and 12°C at 24.3% implied probabilities. These mild lows reflect persistent unsettled weather following early April's record warmth, with urban heat island effects in London preventing sharper drops typical of clearer nights. BBC Weather shows a cooler 9°C outlier, highlighting minor model divergence, but official guidance dominates sentiment. Hourly updates overnight and morning observations at key stations like Heathrow will sharpen resolution as the event unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$34,923Data de Término
15 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 13, 2026, 7:06 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office forecasts, updated this afternoon for central London and Heathrow, project an overnight minimum of 12°C on April 15 amid light rain, southerly gusts up to 30mph, and cloud cover that curbs radiative cooling—driving trader consensus with 11°C at 41.4% and 12°C at 24.3% implied probabilities. These mild lows reflect persistent unsettled weather following early April's record warmth, with urban heat island effects in London preventing sharper drops typical of clearer nights. BBC Weather shows a cooler 9°C outlier, highlighting minor model divergence, but official guidance dominates sentiment. Hourly updates overnight and morning observations at key stations like Heathrow will sharpen resolution as the event unfolds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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