Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 68.5% implied probability to Helsinki reaching 15°C or higher on April 15, driven by the latest Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) forecast update on April 14 projecting a daytime high of 13-14°C under clear skies, light southerly winds (3-4 m/s), and dry conditions fostering strong diurnal heating. This marks an upward revision from 11°C in the April 13 outlook, aligning with a warming trend over the past week—highs climbing from 8-10°C earlier to 13°C today amid building high pressure over Scandinavia and minimal cloud cover. Ensemble model spreads (ECMWF/GFS analogs) indicate potential for 15-16°C in warmer scenarios if winds strengthen slightly, though official guidance tempers expectations at 14°C peak around 15:00. New FMI hourly observations and evening forecast refinements could shift odds further as resolution nears.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Helsinki on April 15?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 15?
15°C or higher 66%
14°C 26%
13°C 6.5%
11°C 1.0%
$15,174 Vol.
$15,174 Vol.
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
7%
14°C
26%
15°C or higher
66%
15°C or higher 66%
14°C 26%
13°C 6.5%
11°C 1.0%
$15,174 Vol.
$15,174 Vol.
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
7%
14°C
26%
15°C or higher
66%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 68.5% implied probability to Helsinki reaching 15°C or higher on April 15, driven by the latest Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) forecast update on April 14 projecting a daytime high of 13-14°C under clear skies, light southerly winds (3-4 m/s), and dry conditions fostering strong diurnal heating. This marks an upward revision from 11°C in the April 13 outlook, aligning with a warming trend over the past week—highs climbing from 8-10°C earlier to 13°C today amid building high pressure over Scandinavia and minimal cloud cover. Ensemble model spreads (ECMWF/GFS analogs) indicate potential for 15-16°C in warmer scenarios if winds strengthen slightly, though official guidance tempers expectations at 14°C peak around 15:00. New FMI hourly observations and evening forecast refinements could shift odds further as resolution nears.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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