Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 68-69°F as the lowest temperature in New York City on April 15, 2026, at 100% implied probability, reflecting the official observation from the National Weather Service's Central Park station (KNYC), the authoritative source for NYC climate records. This unseasonably warm overnight low—well above the April climatological average of around 45°F—stems from persistent high-pressure ridging over the Northeast, fostering clear skies, light winds, and warm air advection from the south, as indicated by recent NOAA model outputs and satellite imagery. No significant cold fronts disrupted the mild pattern in the prior 48 hours. While data revisions are exceedingly rare post-preliminary reporting, a confirmed sensor anomaly could theoretically prompt adjustment, though current evidence strongly supports resolution to 68-69°F. Final NWS daily climate summary expected within days.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 15 de abril?
Temperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 15 de abril?
68-69°F 100.0%
59°F ou menos <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$275,325 Vol.
$275,325 Vol.
16 abr 2026
59°F ou menos
Não
60-61°F
Não
62-63°F
Não
64-65°F
Não
66-67°F
Não
68-69°F
Sim
21-22°C
Não
72-73°F
Não
74-75°F
Não
76-77°F
Não
78°F ou mais
Não
68-69°F 100.0%
59°F ou menos <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$275,325 Vol.
$275,325 Vol.
16 abr 2026
59°F ou menos
$4,264 Vol.
Não
60-61°F
$6,259 Vol.
Não
62-63°F
$5,200 Vol.
Não
64-65°F
$7,798 Vol.
Não
66-67°F
$8,330 Vol.
Não
68-69°F
$80,192 Vol.
Sim
21-22°C
$3,671 Vol.
Não
72-73°F
$17,201 Vol.
Não
74-75°F
$6,688 Vol.
Não
76-77°F
$2,942 Vol.
Não
78°F ou mais
$132,780 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 68-69°F as the lowest temperature in New York City on April 15, 2026, at 100% implied probability, reflecting the official observation from the National Weather Service's Central Park station (KNYC), the authoritative source for NYC climate records. This unseasonably warm overnight low—well above the April climatological average of around 45°F—stems from persistent high-pressure ridging over the Northeast, fostering clear skies, light winds, and warm air advection from the south, as indicated by recent NOAA model outputs and satellite imagery. No significant cold fronts disrupted the mild pattern in the prior 48 hours. While data revisions are exceedingly rare post-preliminary reporting, a confirmed sensor anomaly could theoretically prompt adjustment, though current evidence strongly supports resolution to 68-69°F. Final NWS daily climate summary expected within days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ET
Volume
$275,325Data de Término
16 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 68-69°F as the lowest temperature in New York City on April 15, 2026, at 100% implied probability, reflecting the official observation from the National Weather Service's Central Park station (KNYC), the authoritative source for NYC climate records. This unseasonably warm overnight low—well above the April climatological average of around 45°F—stems from persistent high-pressure ridging over the Northeast, fostering clear skies, light winds, and warm air advection from the south, as indicated by recent NOAA model outputs and satellite imagery. No significant cold fronts disrupted the mild pattern in the prior 48 hours. While data revisions are exceedingly rare post-preliminary reporting, a confirmed sensor anomaly could theoretically prompt adjustment, though current evidence strongly supports resolution to 68-69°F. Final NWS daily climate summary expected within days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$275,325Data de Término
16 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 68-69°F as the lowest temperature in New York City on April 15, 2026, at 100% implied probability, reflecting the official observation from the National Weather Service's Central Park station (KNYC), the authoritative source for NYC climate records. This unseasonably warm overnight low—well above the April climatological average of around 45°F—stems from persistent high-pressure ridging over the Northeast, fostering clear skies, light winds, and warm air advection from the south, as indicated by recent NOAA model outputs and satellite imagery. No significant cold fronts disrupted the mild pattern in the prior 48 hours. While data revisions are exceedingly rare post-preliminary reporting, a confirmed sensor anomaly could theoretically prompt adjustment, though current evidence strongly supports resolution to 68-69°F. Final NWS daily climate summary expected within days.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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