Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 66-67°F (25%) as the most likely lowest temperature at LaGuardia Airport on April 15, driven by National Weather Service forecasts projecting overnight lows of 62-67°F under a persistent upper-level ridge ushering warm southwesterly flow and dewpoints in the 50s°F that limit radiative cooling. This unseasonably mild pattern—20°F above April climatological norms of ~45°F—follows April 14's record-tying 87°F high and 64°F minimum at nearby Central Park, with model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) showing tight clustering around mid-60s lows despite minor spreads in cloud cover and evening shower potential. Key differentiators include urban heat island effects amplifying city minima and subtle variations in low-level moisture trapping heat overnight; fresh NWS updates and 00Z model runs expected within hours could refine probabilities further.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 15 de abril?
Temperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 15 de abril?
66-67°F 22.5%
64-65°F 16%
60-61°F 12.5%
62-63°F 10%
NOVO
$22,136 Vol.
NOVO
$22,136 Vol.
16 abr 2026
59°F ou menos
3%
60-61°F
13%
62-63°F
10%
64-65°F
16%
66-67°F
22%
68-69°F
8%
21-22°C
6%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
1%
78°F ou mais
<1%
66-67°F 22.5%
64-65°F 16%
60-61°F 12.5%
62-63°F 10%
NOVO
$22,136 Vol.
NOVO
$22,136 Vol.
16 abr 2026
59°F ou menos
$2,406 Vol.
3%
60-61°F
$1,473 Vol.
13%
62-63°F
$1,644 Vol.
10%
64-65°F
$2,818 Vol.
16%
66-67°F
$3,131 Vol.
22%
68-69°F
$1,448 Vol.
8%
21-22°C
$760 Vol.
6%
72-73°F
$832 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$861 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$1,081 Vol.
1%
78°F ou mais
$5,681 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 66-67°F (25%) as the most likely lowest temperature at LaGuardia Airport on April 15, driven by National Weather Service forecasts projecting overnight lows of 62-67°F under a persistent upper-level ridge ushering warm southwesterly flow and dewpoints in the 50s°F that limit radiative cooling. This unseasonably mild pattern—20°F above April climatological norms of ~45°F—follows April 14's record-tying 87°F high and 64°F minimum at nearby Central Park, with model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) showing tight clustering around mid-60s lows despite minor spreads in cloud cover and evening shower potential. Key differentiators include urban heat island effects amplifying city minima and subtle variations in low-level moisture trapping heat overnight; fresh NWS updates and 00Z model runs expected within hours could refine probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ET
Volume
$22,136Data de Término
16 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 66-67°F (25%) as the most likely lowest temperature at LaGuardia Airport on April 15, driven by National Weather Service forecasts projecting overnight lows of 62-67°F under a persistent upper-level ridge ushering warm southwesterly flow and dewpoints in the 50s°F that limit radiative cooling. This unseasonably mild pattern—20°F above April climatological norms of ~45°F—follows April 14's record-tying 87°F high and 64°F minimum at nearby Central Park, with model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) showing tight clustering around mid-60s lows despite minor spreads in cloud cover and evening shower potential. Key differentiators include urban heat island effects amplifying city minima and subtle variations in low-level moisture trapping heat overnight; fresh NWS updates and 00Z model runs expected within hours could refine probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$22,136Data de Término
16 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 66-67°F (25%) as the most likely lowest temperature at LaGuardia Airport on April 15, driven by National Weather Service forecasts projecting overnight lows of 62-67°F under a persistent upper-level ridge ushering warm southwesterly flow and dewpoints in the 50s°F that limit radiative cooling. This unseasonably mild pattern—20°F above April climatological norms of ~45°F—follows April 14's record-tying 87°F high and 64°F minimum at nearby Central Park, with model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) showing tight clustering around mid-60s lows despite minor spreads in cloud cover and evening shower potential. Key differentiators include urban heat island effects amplifying city minima and subtle variations in low-level moisture trapping heat overnight; fresh NWS updates and 00Z model runs expected within hours could refine probabilities further.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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