National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles on April 15 project highs near 68-72°F across coastal and basin stations like LAX and USC, aligning with trader consensus favoring 68-71°F outcomes amid model ensemble means from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF centering around 70°F. Close probabilities between 68-69°F (33.5%) and 70-71°F (37.5%) stem from uncertainty in morning marine stratus burn-off—persistent low clouds and moderate onshore winds (5-10 mph) suppress peaks to the lower range, while quicker clearing under weak upper-level ridging enables slight warming. Recent soundings show thinning stratus decks, supporting mild above-normal temps versus April climatology (~69°F high), with 72°F+ viable if winds lighten further. Updated guidance expected this afternoon could sharpen resolution as diurnal heating patterns emerge.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 15?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 15?
70-71°F 38%
68-69°F 34%
72°F or higher 23%
66-67°F 3.7%
$18,486 Vol.
$18,486 Vol.
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
34%
70-71°F
38%
72°F or higher
23%
70-71°F 38%
68-69°F 34%
72°F or higher 23%
66-67°F 3.7%
$18,486 Vol.
$18,486 Vol.
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
34%
70-71°F
38%
72°F or higher
23%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles on April 15 project highs near 68-72°F across coastal and basin stations like LAX and USC, aligning with trader consensus favoring 68-71°F outcomes amid model ensemble means from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF centering around 70°F. Close probabilities between 68-69°F (33.5%) and 70-71°F (37.5%) stem from uncertainty in morning marine stratus burn-off—persistent low clouds and moderate onshore winds (5-10 mph) suppress peaks to the lower range, while quicker clearing under weak upper-level ridging enables slight warming. Recent soundings show thinning stratus decks, supporting mild above-normal temps versus April climatology (~69°F high), with 72°F+ viable if winds lighten further. Updated guidance expected this afternoon could sharpen resolution as diurnal heating patterns emerge.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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