Latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts and global model consensus from ECMWF and GFS project Busan's highest temperature on April 15 reaching 23°C, positioning it as the leading outcome at 39% implied probability amid trader consensus on mild spring warming. This reflects yesterday's observed highs near 22°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds advecting warmer maritime air, reducing cloud cover from early-morning showers per Gimhae Airport data (max 20°C conservative estimate). Uncertainty persists in afternoon heating potential versus coastal sea breeze moderation, with 25°C or higher at 25% if high pressure strengthens; lower outcomes trail due to historical April averages around 18–20°C. Watch KMA's evening hourly update for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official Busan station observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Busan on April 15?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 15?
23°C 35.0%
25°C or higher 32.0%
24°C 22.1%
22°C 13%
$18,947 Vol.
$18,947 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
8%
22°C
13%
23°C
35%
24°C
22%
25°C or higher
27%
23°C 35.0%
25°C or higher 32.0%
24°C 22.1%
22°C 13%
$18,947 Vol.
$18,947 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
8%
22°C
13%
23°C
35%
24°C
22%
25°C or higher
27%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts and global model consensus from ECMWF and GFS project Busan's highest temperature on April 15 reaching 23°C, positioning it as the leading outcome at 39% implied probability amid trader consensus on mild spring warming. This reflects yesterday's observed highs near 22°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds advecting warmer maritime air, reducing cloud cover from early-morning showers per Gimhae Airport data (max 20°C conservative estimate). Uncertainty persists in afternoon heating potential versus coastal sea breeze moderation, with 25°C or higher at 25% if high pressure strengthens; lower outcomes trail due to historical April averages around 18–20°C. Watch KMA's evening hourly update for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official Busan station observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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