Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) forecast issued April 14 projects a 21°C high in Tokyo on April 15 amid mostly cloudy skies and 50% precipitation chance, driving trader consensus with 39.5% implied odds on 21°C, followed by 20°C at 26% and 22°C at 23.2%. This positioning reflects a mild spring pattern after early-week warmth peaked at 27°C on April 11, now moderated by persistent cloud cover suppressing solar heating and southerly flows delivering temperate air masses. Historical April highs average 19°C near Tokyo Haneda Airport—the resolution station—but short-term model runs show tight clustering around 20–22°C amid inherent forecast uncertainty from variable cloud breaks or shower timing. Real-time observations will confirm the peak tomorrow.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 15?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 15?
21°C 40%
20°C 24%
22°C 22.9%
19°C 4.0%
NOVO
$89,621 Vol.
NOVO
$89,621 Vol.
15 abr 2026
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
24%
21°C
40%
22°C
23%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
21°C 40%
20°C 24%
22°C 22.9%
19°C 4.0%
NOVO
$89,621 Vol.
NOVO
$89,621 Vol.
15 abr 2026
17°C
$9,390 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$9,626 Vol.
1%
19°C
$7,085 Vol.
4%
20°C
$4,619 Vol.
24%
21°C
$4,807 Vol.
40%
22°C
$6,916 Vol.
23%
23°C
$6,473 Vol.
2%
24°C or higher
$8,024 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) forecast issued April 14 projects a 21°C high in Tokyo on April 15 amid mostly cloudy skies and 50% precipitation chance, driving trader consensus with 39.5% implied odds on 21°C, followed by 20°C at 26% and 22°C at 23.2%. This positioning reflects a mild spring pattern after early-week warmth peaked at 27°C on April 11, now moderated by persistent cloud cover suppressing solar heating and southerly flows delivering temperate air masses. Historical April highs average 19°C near Tokyo Haneda Airport—the resolution station—but short-term model runs show tight clustering around 20–22°C amid inherent forecast uncertainty from variable cloud breaks or shower timing. Real-time observations will confirm the peak tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$89,621Data de Término
15 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) forecast issued April 14 projects a 21°C high in Tokyo on April 15 amid mostly cloudy skies and 50% precipitation chance, driving trader consensus with 39.5% implied odds on 21°C, followed by 20°C at 26% and 22°C at 23.2%. This positioning reflects a mild spring pattern after early-week warmth peaked at 27°C on April 11, now moderated by persistent cloud cover suppressing solar heating and southerly flows delivering temperate air masses. Historical April highs average 19°C near Tokyo Haneda Airport—the resolution station—but short-term model runs show tight clustering around 20–22°C amid inherent forecast uncertainty from variable cloud breaks or shower timing. Real-time observations will confirm the peak tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$89,621Data de Término
15 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) forecast issued April 14 projects a 21°C high in Tokyo on April 15 amid mostly cloudy skies and 50% precipitation chance, driving trader consensus with 39.5% implied odds on 21°C, followed by 20°C at 26% and 22°C at 23.2%. This positioning reflects a mild spring pattern after early-week warmth peaked at 27°C on April 11, now moderated by persistent cloud cover suppressing solar heating and southerly flows delivering temperate air masses. Historical April highs average 19°C near Tokyo Haneda Airport—the resolution station—but short-term model runs show tight clustering around 20–22°C amid inherent forecast uncertainty from variable cloud breaks or shower timing. Real-time observations will confirm the peak tomorrow.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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