Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 16, with the National Weather Service projecting a high near 71°F under mostly sunny skies amid light onshore winds, aligning with clustered odds around 68-73°F. Differentiating factors include variability in marine layer persistence—stronger stratus could cap highs at 68-69°F by limiting boundary layer mixing, while weaker clouds and subsidence from a building upper-level ridge favor 72-74°F. Ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF models show this divergence, influenced by recent cool, rainy patterns giving way to gradual warming; historical April highs at LAX average 72°F. Watch evening NWS updates for refined guidance on wind and cloud trends.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 16?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 16?
68-69°F 23%
70-71°F 21.4%
74°F or higher 17%
72-73°F 16%
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
15%
68-69°F
23%
70-71°F
21%
72-73°F
16%
74°F or higher
25%
68-69°F 23%
70-71°F 21.4%
74°F or higher 17%
72-73°F 16%
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
15%
68-69°F
23%
70-71°F
21%
72-73°F
16%
74°F or higher
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 16, with the National Weather Service projecting a high near 71°F under mostly sunny skies amid light onshore winds, aligning with clustered odds around 68-73°F. Differentiating factors include variability in marine layer persistence—stronger stratus could cap highs at 68-69°F by limiting boundary layer mixing, while weaker clouds and subsidence from a building upper-level ridge favor 72-74°F. Ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF models show this divergence, influenced by recent cool, rainy patterns giving way to gradual warming; historical April highs at LAX average 72°F. Watch evening NWS updates for refined guidance on wind and cloud trends.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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