The Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated April 12, projects daytime highs of 26–29°C on April 14 under a persistent southerly airstream delivering warm, humid conditions with sunny intervals and isolated showers, driving trader consensus toward 28°C (37% implied probability) as the leading outcome. Recent observations confirm this trend, with April 12 already reaching 29°C amid similar weather, while seasonal outlooks signal normal to above-normal temperatures for April amid neutral ENSO patterns. Uncertainties stem from variable cloud cover and shower timing, which could suppress peaks to 27°C or allow 30°C+ (22%) if sunshine dominates; daily HKO updates at midnight HKT will refine model consensus ahead of resolution based on King's Park observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 14?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 14?
28°C 30%
27°C 26%
29°C 20%
30°C or higher 19%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
7%
27°C
29%
28°C
30%
29°C
28%
30°C or higher
19%
28°C 30%
27°C 26%
29°C 20%
30°C or higher 19%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
7%
27°C
29%
28°C
30%
29°C
28%
30°C or higher
19%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 12, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated April 12, projects daytime highs of 26–29°C on April 14 under a persistent southerly airstream delivering warm, humid conditions with sunny intervals and isolated showers, driving trader consensus toward 28°C (37% implied probability) as the leading outcome. Recent observations confirm this trend, with April 12 already reaching 29°C amid similar weather, while seasonal outlooks signal normal to above-normal temperatures for April amid neutral ENSO patterns. Uncertainties stem from variable cloud cover and shower timing, which could suppress peaks to 27°C or allow 30°C+ (22%) if sunshine dominates; daily HKO updates at midnight HKT will refine model consensus ahead of resolution based on King's Park observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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