Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around a 30–32°C high in Guangzhou tomorrow, driven by the latest Guangzhou Meteorological Observatory forecast of 28°C under partly cloudy skies amid a strengthening subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and reduced cloudiness. This follows today's observed high near 29°C with cloudy conditions moderating peaks, per official bulletins. International models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles diverge higher at 32–33°C, factoring stronger insolation, lighter sea breezes, and urban heat island effects in the Pearl River Delta. Key differentiators include exact afternoon cloud cover variability and boundary layer mixing, with hourly station data from the China Meteorological Administration set to resolve the market by evening. Historical April averages hover at 26°C, underscoring the warmth.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on April 16?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 16?
30°C 27%
31°C 27%
32°C 27%
34°C 27%
29°C or below
17%
30°C
27%
31°C
27%
32°C
27%
33°C
17%
34°C
27%
35°C
26%
36°C
26%
37°C
26%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
1%
30°C 27%
31°C 27%
32°C 27%
34°C 27%
29°C or below
17%
30°C
27%
31°C
27%
32°C
27%
33°C
17%
34°C
27%
35°C
26%
36°C
26%
37°C
26%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around a 30–32°C high in Guangzhou tomorrow, driven by the latest Guangzhou Meteorological Observatory forecast of 28°C under partly cloudy skies amid a strengthening subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and reduced cloudiness. This follows today's observed high near 29°C with cloudy conditions moderating peaks, per official bulletins. International models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles diverge higher at 32–33°C, factoring stronger insolation, lighter sea breezes, and urban heat island effects in the Pearl River Delta. Key differentiators include exact afternoon cloud cover variability and boundary layer mixing, with hourly station data from the China Meteorological Administration set to resolve the market by evening. Historical April averages hover at 26°C, underscoring the warmth.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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