Trader sentiment on Guangzhou's highest temperature April 15 reflects tight uncertainty across 30–36°C outcomes, driven by divergent short-range forecasts amid morning showers and patchy cloud cover limiting solar insolation. Guangzhou Observatory's latest advisory caps district highs at 30°C under humid, southerly SSE winds at 17 km/h, aligning with 30°C-or-below (25%) and 31°C (22.5%) pricing, while AccuWeather models project 32–33°C peaks if afternoon clearing occurs, boosting 35°C (23.5%) and 36°C (21.5%) odds. Urban heat island effects in the Pearl River Delta and recent 32°C highs on April 14 add variability; real-time Baiyun station observations through peak heating hours (2–4 p.m.) will clarify, as model ensembles show ±2°C spreads typical for subtropical convective patterns.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Guangzhou no dia 15 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Guangzhou no dia 15 de abril?
31°C 26%
30°C ou menos 24%
32°C 24%
35°C 24%
30°C ou menos
24%
31°C
26%
32°C
24%
33°C
21%
34°C
21%
35°C
24%
36°C
21%
37°C
3%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C ou mais
1%
31°C 26%
30°C ou menos 24%
32°C 24%
35°C 24%
30°C ou menos
24%
31°C
26%
32°C
24%
33°C
21%
34°C
21%
35°C
24%
36°C
21%
37°C
3%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Guangzhou's highest temperature April 15 reflects tight uncertainty across 30–36°C outcomes, driven by divergent short-range forecasts amid morning showers and patchy cloud cover limiting solar insolation. Guangzhou Observatory's latest advisory caps district highs at 30°C under humid, southerly SSE winds at 17 km/h, aligning with 30°C-or-below (25%) and 31°C (22.5%) pricing, while AccuWeather models project 32–33°C peaks if afternoon clearing occurs, boosting 35°C (23.5%) and 36°C (21.5%) odds. Urban heat island effects in the Pearl River Delta and recent 32°C highs on April 14 add variability; real-time Baiyun station observations through peak heating hours (2–4 p.m.) will clarify, as model ensembles show ±2°C spreads typical for subtropical convective patterns.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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