Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 30°C (38%) and 29°C (31.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 15, reflecting tight forecast convergence from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), GFS, and ECMWF models projecting daytime peaks of 29–30°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport under partly sunny skies and persistent southerly winds of 16–24 km/h advecting warm, humid air from the South China Sea. Recent observed highs of 28–32°C over the past week signal a warm anomaly above April's typical 26–27°C average, boosted by urban heat island effects, though differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud cover, sea breeze moderation, and precise peak-hour timing around 2–4 p.m. CMA's final hourly update expected today could refine this narrow spread before observations begin.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 15?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 15?
30°C 38%
29°C 31%
31°C 18%
28°C 14.0%
NOVO
$36,615 Vol.
NOVO
$36,615 Vol.
15 abr 2026
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
14%
29°C
31%
30°C
38%
31°C
18%
32°C or higher
3%
30°C 38%
29°C 31%
31°C 18%
28°C 14.0%
NOVO
$36,615 Vol.
NOVO
$36,615 Vol.
15 abr 2026
25°C
$3,735 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,675 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$8,116 Vol.
3%
28°C
$4,637 Vol.
14%
29°C
$1,591 Vol.
31%
30°C
$1,178 Vol.
38%
31°C
$3,785 Vol.
18%
32°C or higher
$4,528 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 30°C (38%) and 29°C (31.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 15, reflecting tight forecast convergence from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), GFS, and ECMWF models projecting daytime peaks of 29–30°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport under partly sunny skies and persistent southerly winds of 16–24 km/h advecting warm, humid air from the South China Sea. Recent observed highs of 28–32°C over the past week signal a warm anomaly above April's typical 26–27°C average, boosted by urban heat island effects, though differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud cover, sea breeze moderation, and precise peak-hour timing around 2–4 p.m. CMA's final hourly update expected today could refine this narrow spread before observations begin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Volume
$36,615Data de Término
15 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 30°C (38%) and 29°C (31.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 15, reflecting tight forecast convergence from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), GFS, and ECMWF models projecting daytime peaks of 29–30°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport under partly sunny skies and persistent southerly winds of 16–24 km/h advecting warm, humid air from the South China Sea. Recent observed highs of 28–32°C over the past week signal a warm anomaly above April's typical 26–27°C average, boosted by urban heat island effects, though differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud cover, sea breeze moderation, and precise peak-hour timing around 2–4 p.m. CMA's final hourly update expected today could refine this narrow spread before observations begin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$36,615Data de Término
15 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 30°C (38%) and 29°C (31.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 15, reflecting tight forecast convergence from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), GFS, and ECMWF models projecting daytime peaks of 29–30°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport under partly sunny skies and persistent southerly winds of 16–24 km/h advecting warm, humid air from the South China Sea. Recent observed highs of 28–32°C over the past week signal a warm anomaly above April's typical 26–27°C average, boosted by urban heat island effects, though differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud cover, sea breeze moderation, and precise peak-hour timing around 2–4 p.m. CMA's final hourly update expected today could refine this narrow spread before observations begin.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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