Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 25°C on May 7, driven by the latest observational data and forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the market's official resolution source. Midday readings hovered around 20–22°C amid cloudy skies and light rain, aligning with global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting a daily maximum of 25°C under persistent frontal cloud cover suppressing further warming. This fits May climatology, where average highs near 26°C are common but modulated by weather patterns. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing for intense solar heating in late afternoon, though current conditions make this improbable as the resolution window nears.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 7?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 7?
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$209,077 Vol.
$209,077 Vol.
7 mai 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$209,077 Vol.
$209,077 Vol.
7 mai 2026
16°C or below
$14,432 Vol.
No
17°C
$459 Vol.
No
18°C
$647 Vol.
No
19°C
$6,152 Vol.
No
20°C
$6,919 Vol.
No
21°C
$19,879 Vol.
No
22°C
$36,698 Vol.
No
23°C
$34,269 Vol.
No
24°C
$36,969 Vol.
No
25°C
$27,920 Vol.
Yes
26°C or higher
$24,734 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 25°C on May 7, driven by the latest observational data and forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the market's official resolution source. Midday readings hovered around 20–22°C amid cloudy skies and light rain, aligning with global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting a daily maximum of 25°C under persistent frontal cloud cover suppressing further warming. This fits May climatology, where average highs near 26°C are common but modulated by weather patterns. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing for intense solar heating in late afternoon, though current conditions make this improbable as the resolution window nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 5, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Volume
$209,077Data de Término
7 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 5, 2026, 12:34 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 25°C on May 7, driven by the latest observational data and forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the market's official resolution source. Midday readings hovered around 20–22°C amid cloudy skies and light rain, aligning with global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting a daily maximum of 25°C under persistent frontal cloud cover suppressing further warming. This fits May climatology, where average highs near 26°C are common but modulated by weather patterns. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing for intense solar heating in late afternoon, though current conditions make this improbable as the resolution window nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$209,077Data de Término
7 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 5, 2026, 12:34 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 25°C on May 7, driven by the latest observational data and forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the market's official resolution source. Midday readings hovered around 20–22°C amid cloudy skies and light rain, aligning with global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting a daily maximum of 25°C under persistent frontal cloud cover suppressing further warming. This fits May climatology, where average highs near 26°C are common but modulated by weather patterns. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing for intense solar heating in late afternoon, though current conditions make this improbable as the resolution window nears.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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