Recent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daily high near 29°C for Zhengzhou on September 3, 2026, under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity around 45-50%. This positions 29°C as the market leader at 85.5% implied probability, reflecting observed morning temperatures climbing steadily toward that threshold without exceeding it in most ensemble runs. Minor upside risk to 30°C stems from localized heating or measurement variations at official stations, while lower outcomes remain negligible given the absence of frontal systems or cloud cover that could suppress the peak. Updated model consensus through the day continues to reinforce this narrow range ahead of final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Zhengzhou em 3 de setembro?
29°C 99%
31°C 2%
30°C 1%
32°C ou mais <1%
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
99%
30°C
13%
31°C
2%
32°C ou mais
<1%
29°C 99%
31°C 2%
30°C 1%
32°C ou mais <1%
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
99%
30°C
13%
31°C
2%
32°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daily high near 29°C for Zhengzhou on September 3, 2026, under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity around 45-50%. This positions 29°C as the market leader at 85.5% implied probability, reflecting observed morning temperatures climbing steadily toward that threshold without exceeding it in most ensemble runs. Minor upside risk to 30°C stems from localized heating or measurement variations at official stations, while lower outcomes remain negligible given the absence of frontal systems or cloud cover that could suppress the peak. Updated model consensus through the day continues to reinforce this narrow range ahead of final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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