Recent model consensus points to overnight lows near 13°C in Amsterdam on September 22, driven by extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling and light southwesterly winds under high pressure around 1030 hPa. These conditions reduce the typical diurnal temperature drop compared to clearer nights, while dew points near 12°C support minimal further decline after sunset. Historical September 22 averages show lows around 10.4°C, but current mild maritime air and forecast stability favor values clustered between 12–14°C. Updated runs from global and regional models will refine the precise minimum as the 24-hour window approaches, with traders weighting the balance between slight warming advection and any late clearing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Amesterdão a 22 de setembro?
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
14°C 39%
11°C 19%
7°C ou menos
4%
8°C
5%
9°C
7%
10°C
11%
11°C
19%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
39%
15°C
19%
16°C
11%
17°C ou mais
7%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
14°C 39%
11°C 19%
7°C ou menos
4%
8°C
5%
9°C
7%
10°C
11%
11°C
19%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
39%
15°C
19%
16°C
11%
17°C ou mais
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus points to overnight lows near 13°C in Amsterdam on September 22, driven by extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling and light southwesterly winds under high pressure around 1030 hPa. These conditions reduce the typical diurnal temperature drop compared to clearer nights, while dew points near 12°C support minimal further decline after sunset. Historical September 22 averages show lows around 10.4°C, but current mild maritime air and forecast stability favor values clustered between 12–14°C. Updated runs from global and regional models will refine the precise minimum as the 24-hour window approaches, with traders weighting the balance between slight warming advection and any late clearing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions