Persistent heat across North Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for mostly clear skies, light southeast winds, and overnight lows in the upper 70s to around 80°F on September 16, underpins trader focus on bins near 80-81°F and 82-83°F. Recent model runs show limited radiational cooling due to high dew points near 70°F and a strong subtropical ridge suppressing typical September nocturnal drops below the 70°F climatological average. While historical records include lows as cool as 46°F, current conditions and ensemble guidance favor minimum temperatures well above seasonal norms, aligning with the market-implied emphasis on the warmest outcomes despite some dispersion in shorter-range guidance. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycle will refine resolution thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Dallas no dia 16 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Dallas no dia 16 de setembro?
71°F ou menos 97%
80-81°F 40%
84-85°F 40%
86-87°F 40%
NOVO
NOVO
16 set 2026
71°F ou menos
97%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
40%
86-87°F
40%
88-89°F
18%
90°F ou mais
<1%
71°F ou menos 97%
80-81°F 40%
84-85°F 40%
86-87°F 40%
NOVO
NOVO
16 set 2026
71°F ou menos
$0 Vol.
97%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
18%
74-75°F
$272 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$146 Vol.
21%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
21%
80-81°F
$3 Vol.
22%
82-83°F
$6 Vol.
22%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
40%
86-87°F
$30 Vol.
40%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
18%
90°F ou mais
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat across North Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for mostly clear skies, light southeast winds, and overnight lows in the upper 70s to around 80°F on September 16, underpins trader focus on bins near 80-81°F and 82-83°F. Recent model runs show limited radiational cooling due to high dew points near 70°F and a strong subtropical ridge suppressing typical September nocturnal drops below the 70°F climatological average. While historical records include lows as cool as 46°F, current conditions and ensemble guidance favor minimum temperatures well above seasonal norms, aligning with the market-implied emphasis on the warmest outcomes despite some dispersion in shorter-range guidance. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycle will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$457Data de Término
16 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat across North Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for mostly clear skies, light southeast winds, and overnight lows in the upper 70s to around 80°F on September 16, underpins trader focus on bins near 80-81°F and 82-83°F. Recent model runs show limited radiational cooling due to high dew points near 70°F and a strong subtropical ridge suppressing typical September nocturnal drops below the 70°F climatological average. While historical records include lows as cool as 46°F, current conditions and ensemble guidance favor minimum temperatures well above seasonal norms, aligning with the market-implied emphasis on the warmest outcomes despite some dispersion in shorter-range guidance. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycle will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$457Data de Término
16 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heat across North Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for mostly clear skies, light southeast winds, and overnight lows in the upper 70s to around 80°F on September 16, underpins trader focus on bins near 80-81°F and 82-83°F. Recent model runs show limited radiational cooling due to high dew points near 70°F and a strong subtropical ridge suppressing typical September nocturnal drops below the 70°F climatological average. While historical records include lows as cool as 46°F, current conditions and ensemble guidance favor minimum temperatures well above seasonal norms, aligning with the market-implied emphasis on the warmest outcomes despite some dispersion in shorter-range guidance. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycle will refine resolution thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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