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icon for Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 5 de maio?

Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 5 de maio?

icon for Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 5 de maio?

Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 5 de maio?

19°C 100.0%

14°C ou menos <1%

15°C <1%

16°C <1%

Polymarket

$37,921 Vol.

19°C 100.0%

14°C ou menos <1%

15°C <1%

16°C <1%

Polymarket

$37,921 Vol.

14°C ou menos

$967 Vol.

Não

15°C

$1,313 Vol.

Não

16°C

$1,308 Vol.

Não

17°C

$1,043 Vol.

Não

18°C

$2,488 Vol.

Não

19°C

$5,242 Vol.

Sim

20°C

$8,092 Vol.

Não

21°C

$6,677 Vol.

Não

22°C

$4,020 Vol.

Não

23°C

$2,886 Vol.

Não

24°C ou mais

$3,886 Vol.

Não

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm a minimum air temperature of 19°C on May 5, 2026, at key reference stations like King's Park, driving the market's unanimous trader consensus on this outcome amid typical May variability. Overnight cloud cover and lingering effects from a northeast monsoon suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms of 23–25°C, with regional readings showing grass minimums around 20°C and no lower verified air temperatures at official sites. This positioning reflects verified instrumental data from HKO's quality-controlled network, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on resolution criteria. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc data revision from sensor anomaly or clarification on station-specific minimums could shift it, though HKO finalizes dailies promptly.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$37,921
Data de Término
5 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm a minimum air temperature of 19°C on May 5, 2026, at key reference stations like King's Park, driving the market's unanimous trader consensus on this outcome amid typical May variability. Overnight cloud cover and lingering effects from a northeast monsoon suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms of 23–25°C, with regional readings showing grass minimums around 20°C and no lower verified air temperatures at official sites. This positioning reflects verified instrumental data from HKO's quality-controlled network, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on resolution criteria. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc data revision from sensor anomaly or clarification on station-specific minimums could shift it, though HKO finalizes dailies promptly.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$37,921
Data de Término
5 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 5 de maio?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "19°C" at 100%, followed by "14°C ou menos" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 5 de maio?" has generated $37.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 5 de maio?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 5 de maio?" is "19°C" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "14°C ou menos" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 5 de maio?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.