Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 8°C as the lowest temperature in London on May 6, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by the latest Met Office forecast for Greater London confirming an overnight minimum of 8°C amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds around 6–8 mph. This aligns with hourly projections showing temperatures bottoming out near 9°C early evening before stabilizing at 8°C, bolstered by the urban heat island effect and sufficient cloud cover to curb radiative cooling—conditions validated by current observations of 11–12°C in the evening. Model consensus from UKV and ECMWF supports this, with morning lows already exceeding 7°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing leading to a brief dip toward 7°C under ideal inversion conditions, though persistent breeze and humidity above 70% render it highly unlikely; final Heathrow Airport data will resolve the market by midnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Londres no dia 6 de maio?
Temperatura mais baixa em Londres no dia 6 de maio?
8°C 100.0%
3°C ou menos <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$28,967 Vol.
$28,967 Vol.
6 mai 2026
3°C ou menos
Não
4°C
Não
5°C
Não
6°C
Não
7°C
Não
8°C
Sim
9°C
Não
10°C
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Não
13°C ou mais
Não
8°C 100.0%
3°C ou menos <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$28,967 Vol.
$28,967 Vol.
6 mai 2026
3°C ou menos
$4,168 Vol.
Não
4°C
$3,995 Vol.
Não
5°C
$911 Vol.
Não
6°C
$2,667 Vol.
Não
7°C
$3,334 Vol.
Não
8°C
$4,272 Vol.
Sim
9°C
$1,052 Vol.
Não
10°C
$1,598 Vol.
Não
11°C
$3,136 Vol.
Não
12°C
$1,697 Vol.
Não
13°C ou mais
$2,136 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 8°C as the lowest temperature in London on May 6, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by the latest Met Office forecast for Greater London confirming an overnight minimum of 8°C amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds around 6–8 mph. This aligns with hourly projections showing temperatures bottoming out near 9°C early evening before stabilizing at 8°C, bolstered by the urban heat island effect and sufficient cloud cover to curb radiative cooling—conditions validated by current observations of 11–12°C in the evening. Model consensus from UKV and ECMWF supports this, with morning lows already exceeding 7°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing leading to a brief dip toward 7°C under ideal inversion conditions, though persistent breeze and humidity above 70% render it highly unlikely; final Heathrow Airport data will resolve the market by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$28,967Data de Término
6 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 8°C as the lowest temperature in London on May 6, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by the latest Met Office forecast for Greater London confirming an overnight minimum of 8°C amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds around 6–8 mph. This aligns with hourly projections showing temperatures bottoming out near 9°C early evening before stabilizing at 8°C, bolstered by the urban heat island effect and sufficient cloud cover to curb radiative cooling—conditions validated by current observations of 11–12°C in the evening. Model consensus from UKV and ECMWF supports this, with morning lows already exceeding 7°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing leading to a brief dip toward 7°C under ideal inversion conditions, though persistent breeze and humidity above 70% render it highly unlikely; final Heathrow Airport data will resolve the market by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$28,967Data de Término
6 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 8°C as the lowest temperature in London on May 6, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by the latest Met Office forecast for Greater London confirming an overnight minimum of 8°C amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds around 6–8 mph. This aligns with hourly projections showing temperatures bottoming out near 9°C early evening before stabilizing at 8°C, bolstered by the urban heat island effect and sufficient cloud cover to curb radiative cooling—conditions validated by current observations of 11–12°C in the evening. Model consensus from UKV and ECMWF supports this, with morning lows already exceeding 7°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing leading to a brief dip toward 7°C under ideal inversion conditions, though persistent breeze and humidity above 70% render it highly unlikely; final Heathrow Airport data will resolve the market by midnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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