Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to an overnight low of 13–14 °C in London on 16 September, with clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds promoting moderate radiative cooling under a mild autumnal air mass. Surface observations and short-range forecasts show temperatures bottoming near these levels after sunset, consistent with mid-September climatology where London’s average daily minimum hovers around 12 °C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 60 % probability assigned to 14 °C and 31 % to 13 °C, aligns with this narrow forecast range; any late-model shift toward increased cloud cover or stronger winds could nudge the outcome slightly higher, while clearer conditions would favor the lower end before final readings are confirmed.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Londres no dia 16 de setembro?
12°C 3%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
8°C ou menos
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
39%
14°C
61%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C ou mais
<1%
12°C 3%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
8°C ou menos
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
39%
14°C
61%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to an overnight low of 13–14 °C in London on 16 September, with clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds promoting moderate radiative cooling under a mild autumnal air mass. Surface observations and short-range forecasts show temperatures bottoming near these levels after sunset, consistent with mid-September climatology where London’s average daily minimum hovers around 12 °C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 60 % probability assigned to 14 °C and 31 % to 13 °C, aligns with this narrow forecast range; any late-model shift toward increased cloud cover or stronger winds could nudge the outcome slightly higher, while clearer conditions would favor the lower end before final readings are confirmed.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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