**Latest Met Office and model guidance for London on September 18, 2026, points to a minimum temperature of 12°C, producing the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome.** Mild southwesterly flow, mostly cloudy skies with limited clear periods overnight, and dew points near 11–12°C have kept readings from falling further, consistent with observed values around 16°C earlier in the evening and statistical September lows near 11–13°C. Official resolution depends on the precise station and 24-hour minimum reported by the Met Office or equivalent authority. A sharper-than-expected radiative cooling under any clearing skies or a shift to lighter winds could push the low a degree or two lower, though current guidance and real-time observations make such a move unlikely before the day closes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Londres no dia 18 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Londres no dia 18 de setembro?
12°C 100.0%
6°C ou menos <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$6,885 Vol.
$6,885 Vol.
18 set 2026
6°C ou menos
Não
7°C
Não
8°C
Não
9°C
Não
10°C
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Sim
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C ou mais
Não
12°C 100.0%
6°C ou menos <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$6,885 Vol.
$6,885 Vol.
18 set 2026
6°C ou menos
$81 Vol.
Não
7°C
$81 Vol.
Não
8°C
$81 Vol.
Não
9°C
$248 Vol.
Não
10°C
$198 Vol.
Não
11°C
$2,009 Vol.
Não
12°C
$3,182 Vol.
Sim
13°C
$791 Vol.
Não
14°C
$127 Vol.
Não
15°C
$41 Vol.
Não
16°C ou mais
$46 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest Met Office and model guidance for London on September 18, 2026, points to a minimum temperature of 12°C, producing the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome.**
Mild southwesterly flow, mostly cloudy skies with limited clear periods overnight, and dew points near 11–12°C have kept readings from falling further, consistent with observed values around 16°C earlier in the evening and statistical September lows near 11–13°C. Official resolution depends on the precise station and 24-hour minimum reported by the Met Office or equivalent authority. A sharper-than-expected radiative cooling under any clearing skies or a shift to lighter winds could push the low a degree or two lower, though current guidance and real-time observations make such a move unlikely before the day closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$6,885Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest Met Office and model guidance for London on September 18, 2026, points to a minimum temperature of 12°C, producing the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome.**
Mild southwesterly flow, mostly cloudy skies with limited clear periods overnight, and dew points near 11–12°C have kept readings from falling further, consistent with observed values around 16°C earlier in the evening and statistical September lows near 11–13°C. Official resolution depends on the precise station and 24-hour minimum reported by the Met Office or equivalent authority. A sharper-than-expected radiative cooling under any clearing skies or a shift to lighter winds could push the low a degree or two lower, though current guidance and real-time observations make such a move unlikely before the day closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,885Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
**Latest Met Office and model guidance for London on September 18, 2026, points to a minimum temperature of 12°C, producing the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome.** Mild southwesterly flow, mostly cloudy skies with limited clear periods overnight, and dew points near 11–12°C have kept readings from falling further, consistent with observed values around 16°C earlier in the evening and statistical September lows near 11–13°C. Official resolution depends on the precise station and 24-hour minimum reported by the Met Office or equivalent authority. A sharper-than-expected radiative cooling under any clearing skies or a shift to lighter winds could push the low a degree or two lower, though current guidance and real-time observations make such a move unlikely before the day closes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions