Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate overnight lows near 26°C in Lucknow for September 19, consistent with late-monsoon conditions and high humidity limiting radiative cooling. The closely matched market-implied odds around 20°C or below versus 26°C reflect uncertainty in monsoon withdrawal timing, which is projected to begin from western regions around September 19–22. Earlier withdrawal could allow clearer skies and greater nighttime temperature drops below seasonal norms of 25–26°C, while persistent cloud cover or scattered showers would maintain higher minima. Traders weigh these variables against historical September lows and the latest model consensus ahead of the next IMD update.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Lucknow em 19 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Lucknow em 19 de setembro?
20°C ou menos 94%
30°C ou mais 85%
26°C 49%
21°C 39%
NOVO
NOVO
19 set 2026
20°C ou menos
94%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
22%
26°C
49%
27°C
34%
28°C
38%
29°C
39%
30°C ou mais
85%
20°C ou menos 94%
30°C ou mais 85%
26°C 49%
21°C 39%
NOVO
NOVO
19 set 2026
20°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
94%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C
$0 Vol.
22%
26°C
$21 Vol.
49%
27°C
$0 Vol.
34%
28°C
$0 Vol.
38%
29°C
$0 Vol.
39%
30°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate overnight lows near 26°C in Lucknow for September 19, consistent with late-monsoon conditions and high humidity limiting radiative cooling. The closely matched market-implied odds around 20°C or below versus 26°C reflect uncertainty in monsoon withdrawal timing, which is projected to begin from western regions around September 19–22. Earlier withdrawal could allow clearer skies and greater nighttime temperature drops below seasonal norms of 25–26°C, while persistent cloud cover or scattered showers would maintain higher minima. Traders weigh these variables against historical September lows and the latest model consensus ahead of the next IMD update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$21Data de Término
19 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate overnight lows near 26°C in Lucknow for September 19, consistent with late-monsoon conditions and high humidity limiting radiative cooling. The closely matched market-implied odds around 20°C or below versus 26°C reflect uncertainty in monsoon withdrawal timing, which is projected to begin from western regions around September 19–22. Earlier withdrawal could allow clearer skies and greater nighttime temperature drops below seasonal norms of 25–26°C, while persistent cloud cover or scattered showers would maintain higher minima. Traders weigh these variables against historical September lows and the latest model consensus ahead of the next IMD update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21Data de Término
19 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate overnight lows near 26°C in Lucknow for September 19, consistent with late-monsoon conditions and high humidity limiting radiative cooling. The closely matched market-implied odds around 20°C or below versus 26°C reflect uncertainty in monsoon withdrawal timing, which is projected to begin from western regions around September 19–22. Earlier withdrawal could allow clearer skies and greater nighttime temperature drops below seasonal norms of 25–26°C, while persistent cloud cover or scattered showers would maintain higher minima. Traders weigh these variables against historical September lows and the latest model consensus ahead of the next IMD update.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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